Polymarket New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is New York Yankees, at 54%. The market settles by Oct 12, 2026, and $12K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 54¢ reads as a 54% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Also priced on Kalshi: compare both
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees compare | 54% | 54¢ | $4K | Trade |
| Spread · Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 | 60% | 60¢ | $3K | Trade |
| O/U 7.5 · Under | 60% | 60¢ | $3K | Trade |
| O/U 6.5 · Over | 52% | 52¢ | $2K | Trade |
| NRFI | 43% | 43¢ | $257 | Trade |
| O/U 5.5 · Over | 61% | 61¢ | $255 | Trade |
| Spread · Tampa Bay Rays +2.5 | 72% | 72¢ | $173 | Trade |
| New York Yankees O/U 1.5 · Over | 78% | 78¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 · Over | 73% | 73¢ | $0 | Trade |
| New York Yankees O/U 2.5 · Over | 62% | 62¢ | $0 | Trade |
Show 17 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 · Over | 62% | 62¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.5 · Over | 56% | 56¢ | $0 | Trade |
| New York Yankees O/U 3.5 · Under | 52% | 52¢ | $0 | Trade |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 · Under | 55% | 55¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Tampa Bay Rays O/U 3.5 · Under | 60% | 60¢ | $0 | Trade |
| New York Yankees O/U 4.5 · Under | 65% | 65¢ | $0 | Trade |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 · Under | 67% | 67¢ | $0 | Trade |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread · Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 | 71% | 71¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Spread · New York Yankees +1.5 | 71% | 71¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Tampa Bay Rays O/U 4.5 · Under | 73% | 73¢ | $0 | Trade |
| New York Yankees O/U 5.5 · Under | 76% | 76¢ | $0 | Trade |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 · Under | 78% | 78¢ | $0 | Trade |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread · New York Yankees +1.5 | 79% | 79¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Tampa Bay Rays O/U 5.5 · Under | 81% | 81¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Spread · New York Yankees +2.5 | 82% | 82¢ | $0 | Trade |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 · Under | 85% | 85¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Extra Innings | 11% | 11¢ | $0 | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 54¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on this match
The same match on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
| Venue | New York Yankees | Tampa Bay Rays | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 54¢ | 46¢cheapest to buy | 1.2¢ | $4K | $425K | Trade → |
| Kalshi | 54¢ | 47¢ | 0.4¢ | $349K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for October 5 at 8:00PM ET:
This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game.
This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Scheduled resolution: Oct 12, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 54¢ for New York Yankees right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays?
On Polymarket, the favourite is New York Yankees, at 54%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.