Polymarket MLB Playoffs: Brewers vs. Padres Series Spread odds
On Polymarket, the busiest line, Brewers (-1.5), is at 71%. The market settles by Oct 10, 2026, and $1K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 71¢ reads as a 71% chance.
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 55¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
The 2026 MLB Playoffs National League Division Series between the Milwaukee Brewers and San Diego Padres is a best-of-five series, won by the first team to win three games. Each market in this event names a team and a series spread of -1.5 or -2.5 games, and its two outcomes are the named team with that spread (for example, "Brewers -1.5") and the other team with the opposite spread (for example, "Padres +1.5"). A -1.5 spread is covered if the named team wins the series 3-0 or 3-1, and a -2.5 spread is covered if the named team wins the series 3-0. If the series is completed, each market will resolve to the named team's outcome if its spread is covered and to the other team's outcome if it is not.
If the series is not completed by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, for any reason, including cancellation of the 2026 MLB Playoffs, a market will resolve to the other team's outcome if the other team has already won enough games that the named team can no longer cover the spread (2 games against a -1.5 spread, 1 game against a -2.5 spread). Otherwise, it will resolve to 50-50. Only games completed by that time will be counted.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Oct 10, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 55¢ for Brewers · Padres +2.5 +2.5 right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
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Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on MLB Playoffs: Brewers vs. Padres Series Spread?
On Polymarket, the busiest line, Brewers (-1.5), is at 71%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.