Polymarket MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALCS odds
On Polymarket, the busiest line, New York Yankees, is at 35%. The market settles by Oct 15, 2026, and $342 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 35¢ reads as a 35% chance.
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees | 35% | 35¢ | $231 | Trade |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 64% | 64¢ | $111 | Trade |
| Chicago White Sox | 66% | 66¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Cleveland Guardians | 38% | 38¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Boston Red SoxFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Seattle MarinersFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Baltimore OriolesFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Kansas City RoyalsFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Texas RangersFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| AthleticsFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 |
Show 5 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit TigersFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Minnesota TwinsFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Houston AstrosFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Los Angeles AngelsFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Toronto Blue JaysFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 35¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the ALCS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the ALCS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the ALCS matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Oct 15, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 35¢ for New York Yankees right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALCS?
On Polymarket, the busiest line, New York Yankees, is at 35%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.