Polymarket MLB Postseason: Hit Leader odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is William Contreras, at 50%. The market settles by Nov 15, 2026, and $738 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 50¢ reads as a 50% chance. Polymarket US and Kalshi list it too, and we compare the prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Also on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Also priced on Polymarket US and Kalshi: compare them
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Contreras | 50% | 50¢ | $260 | Trade |
| Yandy Díaz | 22% | 22¢ | $231 | Trade |
| Jonathan Aranda | 12% | 12¢ | $74 | Trade |
| Jackson Chourio | 6% | 6¢ | $52 | Trade |
| Chandler Simpson | 5% | 5¢ | $40 | Trade |
| Junior Caminero | 5% | 5¢ | $40 | Trade |
| Brice Turang compare | 2% | 2¢ | $40 | Trade |
| Steven KwanFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Michael Harris IIFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Chase MeidrothFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 |
Show 16 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddie FreemanFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Jackson MerrillFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Ben RiceFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Miguel VargasFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Ozzie AlbiesFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Fernando Tatis Jr.Final | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Matt OlsonFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Ceddanne RafaelaFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Mauricio DubónFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Pete Crow-ArmstrongFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Michael BuschFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Drake BaldwinFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Wilyer AbreuFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Seiya SuzukiFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Nico HoernerFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Alex BregmanFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 50¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on this question
The same question on each venue: Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 2¢ | 98¢ | 0.1¢ | $40 | $635 | Trade → |
| Polymarket USUS residents only | 4¢ | 97¢ | 0.2¢ | – | – | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 2¢ | 99¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026 MLB Postseason with the most hits.
In the event of a tie for the most hits, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with the higher batting average across the 2026 MLB Postseason. If a tie still persists, each tied player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes".
Only hits in 2026 MLB Postseason games will count toward this market. The 2026 MLB Postseason comprises the Wild Card Series, the Division Series, the League Championship Series, and the World Series. Regular season games, exhibition games, and any tiebreaker or "Game 163" will not be considered part of the 2026 MLB Postseason. The "Other" market will resolve to "Yes" if the player who leads is not among the listed players.
If the 2026 MLB Postseason is cancelled, or the World Series has not concluded by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, every named player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Nov 15, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 50¢ for William Contreras right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on MLB Postseason: Hit Leader?
On Polymarket, the favourite is William Contreras, at 50%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. It trades on Polymarket US and Kalshi. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows every venue’s prices and rules.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.