Polymarket MLB Postseason: World Series MVP odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is William Contreras, at 33%. The market settles by Nov 15, 2026, and $1K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 33¢ reads as a 33% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Also priced on Kalshi: 3 questions compared ↓
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Contreras compare | 33% | 33¢ | $431 | Trade |
| Jackson Chourio | 20% | 20¢ | $31 | Trade |
| Brice Turang | 5% | 5¢ | $323 | Trade |
| Jacob Misiorowski compare | 4% | 4¢ | $20 | Trade |
| Junior Caminero compare | 3% | 3¢ | $71 | Trade |
| Jonathan Aranda | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Yandy Díaz | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Drew Rasmussen | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Nick Martinez | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Chandler Simpson | 1% | 1¢ | $28 | Trade |
Show 30 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tucker | <1% | <1¢ | $20 | Trade |
| Jose Altuve | <1% | <1¢ | $20 | Trade |
| Munetaka Murakami | <1% | <1¢ | $20 | Trade |
| Tyler Glasnow | <1% | <1¢ | $20 | Trade |
| Blake Snell | <1% | <1¢ | $20 | Trade |
| Wilyer Abreu | <1% | <1¢ | $20 | Trade |
| Colson Montgomery | <1% | <1¢ | $20 | Trade |
| Zack Wheeler | <1% | <1¢ | $20 | Trade |
| Matt Olson | <1% | <1¢ | $20 | Trade |
| Shohei Ohtani | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Ranger Suarez | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Sam Antonacci | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Cody Bellinger | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| José Ramírez | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Miguel Vargas | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Max Fried | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Parker Messick | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Cam Schlittler | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Mookie Betts | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Tarik Skubal | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Aaron Judge | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Michael Harris II | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Gerrit Cole | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Jarren Duran | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Peter Lambert | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Sonny Gray | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Drake Baldwin | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Shota Imanaga | – | – | $0 | Trade |
17 more outcomes are priced on Polymarket: the full board on Polymarket (opens in a new tab).
Close-only for US residentsChance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 33¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on these questions
The same questions on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
Will William Contreras win the 2026 World Series MVP?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 33¢cheapest to buy | 67¢ | 1.1¢ | $431 | $1K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 34¢ | 67¢ | 1.6¢ | $34K | – | Trade → |
Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 World Series MVP?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 4¢ | 96¢ | 0.2¢ | $20 | $2K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 4¢ | 96¢ | 0.3¢ | $9K | – | Trade → |
Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 World Series MVP?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 3¢ | 97¢ | 0.1¢ | $71 | $1K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 2¢cheapest to buy | 99¢ | 0.1¢ | $3K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Willie Mays World Series MVP Award for the 2026 World Series. If the winner is not a listed player, the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes".
If more than one player is named the winner of the award, each listed player's market, including those of the co-winners, will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes".
If the 2026 World Series is cancelled, or no winner of the award is announced by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each listed player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Nov 15, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Is Polymarket legit? Our review covers safety, sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 33¢ for William Contreras right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on MLB Postseason: World Series MVP?
On Polymarket, the favourite is William Contreras, at 33%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. The 3 questions both venues price are compared above, each with its own side-by-side page.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.