Polymarket MLB Postseason: Home Run Leader odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Ben Rice, at 42%. The market settles by Nov 15, 2026, and $837 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 42¢ reads as a 42% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rice | 42% | 42¢ | $555 | Trade |
| Jackson Chourio | 11% | 11¢ | $141 | Trade |
| Yandy Díaz | 10% | 10¢ | $15 | Trade |
| Junior Caminero | 5% | 5¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Jake Bauers | 4% | 4¢ | $126 | Trade |
| Jonathan Aranda | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Mookie BettsFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Max MuncyFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Jo AdellFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Shohei OhtaniFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 |
Show 18 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr.Final | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Munetaka MurakamiFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Angel MartínezFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Colson MontgomeryFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Miguel VargasFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Luis García Jr.Final | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Seiya SuzukiFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Matt OlsonFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Drake BaldwinFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Aaron JudgeFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Jackson MerrillFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Wilyer AbreuFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Michael Harris IIFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Alex BregmanFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Willson ContrerasFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Pete Crow-ArmstrongFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Manny MachadoFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| Ian HappFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 42¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026 MLB Postseason with the most home runs.
In the event of a tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with the higher slugging percentage across the 2026 MLB Postseason. If a tie still persists, each tied player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes".
Only home runs in 2026 MLB Postseason games will count toward this market. The 2026 MLB Postseason comprises the Wild Card Series, the Division Series, the League Championship Series, and the World Series. Regular season games, exhibition games, and any tiebreaker or "Game 163" will not be considered part of the 2026 MLB Postseason. The "Other" market will resolve to "Yes" if the player who leads is not among the listed players.
If the 2026 MLB Postseason is cancelled, or the World Series has not concluded by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, every named player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Nov 15, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 42¢ for Ben Rice right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
More MLB markets
MLB World Series Champion 2026
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Oct 31, 2026
$495K in 24h, both venues
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Nov 2, 2026
$305K in 24h on Polymarket and Kalshi
MLB Postseason: Longest Game
Polymarket · resolves Nov 15, 2026
$2K in 24h on Polymarket
MLB Postseason: World Series MVP
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Nov 15, 2026
$47K in 24h, both venues
MLB Postseason: SB Leader
Polymarket · resolves Nov 15, 2026
$1K in 24h on Polymarket
MLB: Number of no-hitters thrown in 2026
Polymarket · resolves Oct 31, 2026
$1K in 24h on Polymarket
Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on MLB Postseason: Home Run Leader?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Ben Rice, at 42%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.