Polymarket market

Polymarket MLB Postseason: Strikeout Leader odds

On Polymarket, the favourite is Gavin Williams, at 75%. The market settles by Nov 15, 2026, and $3K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 75¢ reads as a 75% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.

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Polymarket · odds · updated

Gavin Williams75%
Jacob Misiorowski4%
Freddy Peralta<1%
Dustin May<1%
Joey Cantillo0%

All 25 outcomes ↓

$3K
24h volume on Polymarket
$12K
total volume on Polymarket
4
open of 25 outcomes
Nov 15, 2026
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of MLB Postseason: Strikeout Leader
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Gavin Williams75%75¢$390Trade
Jacob Misiorowski4%4¢$560Trade
Freddy Peralta<1%<1¢$615Trade
Dustin May<1%<1¢$588Trade
Drew Rasmussen––$40Trade
Ian Seymour––$926Trade
Joey CantilloFinal0%0¢$0
Tanner BibeeFinal0%0¢$0
Yoshinobu YamamotoFinal0%0¢$0
Cam SchlittlerFinal0%0¢$0
Show 15 more outcomes
Polymarket odds on each outcome of MLB Postseason: Strikeout Leader
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Foster GriffinFinal0%0¢$0
Tarik SkubalFinal0%0¢$0
Parker MessickFinal0%0¢$0
Tyler MahleFinal0%0¢$0
Payton TolleFinal0%0¢$0
Shota ImanagaFinal0%0¢$0
Sonny GrayFinal0%0¢$0
Kevin GausmanFinal0%0¢$0
Sean BurkeFinal0%0¢$0
Roki SasakiFinal0%0¢$0
Will WarrenFinal0%0¢$0
Gerrit ColeFinal0%0¢$0
Chris SaleFinal0%0¢$0
Michael KingFinal0%0¢$0
Robbie RayFinal0%0¢$0
Close-only for US residents

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 75¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Gavin Williams
75%▼ 6.0 pts since Oct 18
Yes price
Oct 1829% – 82% scaleOct 25

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that finishes the 2026 MLB Postseason with the most strikeouts.

In the event of a tie for the most strikeouts, this market will resolve in favor of the tied pitcher with the higher strikeouts per nine innings across the 2026 MLB Postseason. If a tie still persists, each tied pitcher's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes".

Only strikeouts in 2026 MLB Postseason games will count toward this market. The 2026 MLB Postseason comprises the Wild Card Series, the Division Series, the League Championship Series, and the World Series. Regular season games, exhibition games, and any tiebreaker or "Game 163" will not be considered part of the 2026 MLB Postseason. The "Other" market will resolve to "Yes" if the pitcher who leads is not among the listed pitchers.

If the 2026 MLB Postseason is cancelled, or the World Series has not concluded by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, every named pitcher's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Scheduled resolution: Nov 15, 2026.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket app review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 75¢ for Gavin Williams right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
Close-only for US residents

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Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.

Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on MLB Postseason: Strikeout Leader?

On Polymarket, the favourite is Gavin Williams, at 75%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.