Polymarket market

Polymarket MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year odds

On Polymarket, the favourite is Joakim Nilsson, at 10%. The market settles by Dec 31, 2026, and $447 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 10¢ reads as a 10% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.

Trade on Polymarket

Close-only for US residents

Polymarket · odds · updated

Joakim Nilsson10%
Walker Zimmerman5%
Rodrigues4%
Adilson Malanda4%
Joel Waterman4%

All 60 outcomes ↓

$447
24h volume on Polymarket
$925K
total volume on Polymarket
59
open of 60 outcomes
Dec 31, 2026
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Joakim Nilsson10%10¢$154Trade
Walker Zimmerman5%5¢$0Trade
Rodrigues4%4¢$0Trade
Adilson Malanda4%4¢$0Trade
Joel Waterman4%4¢$0Trade
Birk Risa4%4¢$0Trade
Nkosi Tafari3%3¢$0Trade
Tomás Avilés3%3¢$0Trade
Zac McGraw3%3¢$0Trade
Dave Romney3%3¢$0Trade
Show 30 more outcomes
Polymarket odds on each outcome of MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Lucas Bartlett2%2¢$27Trade
Micael2%2¢$0Trade
David Brekalo2%2¢$0Trade
Tristan Blackmon2%2¢$0Trade
Mauricio Pineda2%2¢$0Trade
Michael Boxall2%2¢$0Trade
Dany Rosero2%2¢$0Trade
Andreas Maxsø1%1¢$0Trade
Jack Maher1%1¢$0Trade
Andrés Reyes1%1¢$0Trade
Tim Parker1%1¢$0Trade
Daniel Munie1%1¢$0Trade
Eddie Segura1%1¢$0Trade
Carlos Terán1%1¢$0Trade
Aaron Long1%1¢$0Trade
Jakob Glesnes1%1¢$0Trade
Gabriele Corbo1%1¢$0Trade
Yevhen Cheberko1%1¢$0Trade
Marcelo Silva1%1¢$0Trade
Kamal Miller1%1¢$0Trade
Lalas Abubakar1%1¢$0Trade
Jackson Ragen1%1¢$0Trade
Brendan Hines-Ike1%1¢$0Trade
Ranko Veselinović1%1¢$0Trade
Andrew Privett1%1¢$0Trade
Oleksandr Svatok1%1¢$0Trade
Kevin Long1%1¢$0Trade
Miles Robinson<1%<1¢$0Trade
Miguel Tapias<1%<1¢$0Trade
Robert Voloder<1%<1¢$0Trade

20 more outcomes are priced on Polymarket: the full board on Polymarket (opens in a new tab).

Close-only for US residents

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 10¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Joakim Nilsson
10%▲ 8.9 pts since Oct 18
Yes price
Oct 181% – 21% scaleOct 25

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Defender of the Year award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Scheduled resolution: Nov 11, 2026.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Is Polymarket safe? Our review covers how your money is held and paid out.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 10¢ for Joakim Nilsson right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
Close-only for US residents

CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.

Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.

Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year?

On Polymarket, the favourite is Joakim Nilsson, at 10%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.