Polymarket MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Joakim Nilsson, at 10%. The market settles by Dec 31, 2026, and $447 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 10¢ reads as a 10% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joakim Nilsson | 10% | 10¢ | $154 | Trade |
| Walker Zimmerman | 5% | 5¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Rodrigues | 4% | 4¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Adilson Malanda | 4% | 4¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Joel Waterman | 4% | 4¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Birk Risa | 4% | 4¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Nkosi Tafari | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Tomás Avilés | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Zac McGraw | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Dave Romney | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
Show 30 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Bartlett | 2% | 2¢ | $27 | Trade |
| Micael | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| David Brekalo | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Tristan Blackmon | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Mauricio Pineda | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Michael Boxall | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Dany Rosero | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Andreas Maxsø | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Jack Maher | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Andrés Reyes | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Tim Parker | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Daniel Munie | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Eddie Segura | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Carlos Terán | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Aaron Long | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Jakob Glesnes | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Gabriele Corbo | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Yevhen Cheberko | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Marcelo Silva | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Kamal Miller | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Lalas Abubakar | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Jackson Ragen | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Brendan Hines-Ike | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Ranko Veselinović | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Andrew Privett | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Oleksandr Svatok | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Kevin Long | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Miles Robinson | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Miguel Tapias | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Robert Voloder | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
20 more outcomes are priced on Polymarket: the full board on Polymarket (opens in a new tab).
Close-only for US residentsChance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 10¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Defender of the Year award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Nov 11, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Is Polymarket safe? Our review covers how your money is held and paid out.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 10¢ for Joakim Nilsson right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Joakim Nilsson, at 10%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.
