Polymarket NBA: 2026-27 Efficiency (EFF) Leader odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Nikola Jokic, at 48%. The market settles by Apr 25, 2027, and $7K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 48¢ reads as a 48% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 48% | 48¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Aaron Gordon | 10% | 10¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Luka Doncic | 9% | 9¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Victor Wembanyama | 8% | 8¢ | $70 | Trade |
| RJ Barrett | 6% | 6¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Jalen Johnson | 5% | 5¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Chet Holmgren | 5% | 5¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Donovan Clingan | 5% | 5¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Cameron Boozer | 5% | 5¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Anthony Edwards | 5% | 5¢ | $53 | Trade |
Show 30 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deandre Ayton | 5% | 5¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Devin Booker | 5% | 5¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Deni Avdija | 5% | 5¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Payton Pritchard | 4% | 4¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Ryan Rollins | 4% | 4¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Zion Williamson | 4% | 4¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Joel Embiid | 4% | 4¢ | $53 | Trade |
| De'Aaron Fox | 4% | 4¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Franz Wagner | 4% | 4¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Scottie Barnes | 4% | 4¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Kevin Durant | 4% | 4¢ | $53 | Trade |
| VJ Edgecombe | 4% | 4¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Dejounte Murray | 4% | 4¢ | $53 | Trade |
| LaMelo Ball | 4% | 4¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Cade Cunningham | 4% | 4¢ | $73 | Trade |
| Rudy Gobert | 4% | 4¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Evan Mobley | 4% | 4¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Jalen Brunson | 4% | 4¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Brandon Ingram | 4% | 4¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Amen Thompson | 4% | 4¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Cooper Flagg | 4% | 4¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Derrick White | 4% | 4¢ | $53 | Trade |
| LeBron James | 4% | 4¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Immanuel Quickley | 4% | 4¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Mark Williams | 4% | 4¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Darryn Peterson | 4% | 4¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Desmond Bane | 4% | 4¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Alex Sarr | 4% | 4¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Nic Claxton | 4% | 4¢ | $53 | Trade |
| Nikola Vucevic | 4% | 4¢ | $53 | Trade |
60 more outcomes are priced on Polymarket: the full board on Polymarket (opens in a new tab).
Close-only for US residentsChance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 48¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NBA regular season with the highest efficiency (EFF) per game average among qualified players. If the leader is not a listed player, the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes".
Efficiency (EFF) is the NBA's box-score efficiency statistic: (points + rebounds + assists + steals + blocks) minus (missed field goals + missed free throws + turnovers), averaged per game as published on NBA.com/stats. To qualify, a player must meet the NBA's minimum requirements for its official 2026-27 regular-season per-game leaderboard (a player who appears in at least 58 regular-season games qualifies), applied exactly as reflected on NBA.com/stats. Only 2026-27 NBA regular-season games count. NBA Cup group-play and knockout games other than the NBA Cup Championship game are regular-season games and count. Statistics from the preseason, the NBA Cup Championship game, the Play-In Tournament, the playoffs and the All-Star Game are excluded. If a player plays for more than one team during the season, his statistics from all teams are combined.
In the event of a tie for the highest efficiency (EFF) per game average, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with a higher total efficiency (EFF) across all games played during the 2026-27 NBA regular season. If a tie still persists, each tied player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes".
If the 2026-27 NBA regular season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NBA statistics for completed games, with leaderboard qualification applied as the NBA applies it to the shortened season.
If the 2026-27 NBA regular season is cancelled, postponed after April 25, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NBA in efficiency (EFF) per game within that timeframe, each listed player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including NBA.com/stats; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Apr 25, 2027.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket app review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 48¢ for Nikola Jokic right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on NBA: 2026-27 Efficiency (EFF) Leader?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Nikola Jokic, at 48%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.