Polymarket NBA: 2026-27 MVP odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Victor Wembanyama, at 25%. The market settles by Jun 30, 2027, and $8K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 25¢ reads as a 25% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Also priced on Kalshi: 6 questions compared ↓
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama compare | 25% | 25¢ | $169 | Trade |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander compare | 18% | 18¢ | $469 | Trade |
| Luka Doncic | 13% | 13¢ | $725 | Trade |
| Nikola Jokic | 13% | 13¢ | $134 | Trade |
| Anthony Edwards compare | 11% | 11¢ | $157 | Trade |
| Tyrese Maxey compare | 7% | 7¢ | $5K | Trade |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 4% | 4¢ | $10 | Trade |
| Kawhi Leonard | 3% | 3¢ | $436 | Trade |
| Jayson Tatum | 2% | 2¢ | $22 | Trade |
| Cade Cunningham | 2% | 2¢ | $147 | Trade |
Show 23 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson | 2% | 2¢ | $10 | Trade |
| Jaylen Brown | 1% | 1¢ | $29 | Trade |
| Alperen Sengun compare | 1% | 1¢ | $196 | Trade |
| Tyrese Haliburton | 1% | 1¢ | $13 | Trade |
| Paolo Banchero | 1% | 1¢ | $355 | Trade |
| LeBron James compare | 1% | 1¢ | $10 | Trade |
| Cooper Flagg | 1% | 1¢ | $10 | Trade |
| Donovan Mitchell | <1% | <1¢ | $10 | Trade |
| Stephen Curry | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Scottie Barnes | <1% | <1¢ | $10 | Trade |
| Bam Adebayo | <1% | <1¢ | $10 | Trade |
| Deni Avdija | <1% | <1¢ | $10 | Trade |
| Anthony Davis | <1% | <1¢ | $10 | Trade |
| Devin Booker | <1% | <1¢ | $10 | Trade |
| Jalen Johnson | <1% | <1¢ | $10 | Trade |
| Kevin Durant | – | – | $171 | Trade |
| Joel Embiid | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Zion Williamson | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Jamal Murray | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| LaMelo Ball | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Austin Reaves | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Evan Mobley | – | – | $0 | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 25¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on these questions
The same questions on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 25¢cheapest to buy | 75¢ | free | $169 | $9K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 29¢ | 72¢ | 1.4¢ | $5K | – | Trade → |
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 18¢ | 82¢ | free | $469 | $11K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 17¢cheapest to buy | 84¢ | 1.0¢ | $691 | – | Trade → |
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 11¢ | 89¢ | free | $157 | $11K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 9¢cheapest to buy | 92¢ | 0.5¢ | $7K | – | Trade → |
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 7¢ | 94¢ | free | $5K | $14K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 6¢cheapest to buy | 94¢ | 0.4¢ | $36K | – | Trade → |
Will Alperen Sengun win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 1¢ | 99¢ | free | $196 | $4K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $0 | – | Trade → |
Will LeBron James win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 1¢ | 99¢ | free | $10 | $16K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $0 | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Most Valuable Player (MVP) award for the 2026-27 NBA regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NBA regular season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Jun 30, 2027.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 25¢ for Victor Wembanyama right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
More NBA markets
Lakers vs. Jazz
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Oct 25, 2026
$1.1M in 24h on Polymarket
Pistons vs. 76ers
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Oct 25, 2026
$810K in 24h on Polymarket
NBA: 2027 Champion
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Jun 30, 2027
$1.3M in 24h on Polymarket and Kalshi
Grizzlies vs. Kings
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Oct 25, 2026
$627K in 24h on Polymarket
Raptors vs. Timberwolves
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Oct 25, 2026
$749K in 24h on Polymarket and Kalshi
Pacers vs. Nets
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Oct 25, 2026
$559K in 24h on Polymarket
Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on NBA: 2026-27 MVP?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Victor Wembanyama, at 25%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. The 6 questions both venues price are compared above, each with its own side-by-side page.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.