Polymarket Mavericks vs. Heat odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Heat, at 74%. The market settles by Oct 26, 2026, and $14K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 74¢ reads as a 74% chance. Polymarket US and Kalshi list it too, and we compare the prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Also on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page
Polymarket odds on every outcome
Show 30 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team to Score First | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Spread -7.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 223.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 215.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Spread -5.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Spread -1.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 221.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Spread -13.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Spread -2.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Spread -22.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Spread -7.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Spread -20.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 251.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Spread -32.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 237.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Spread -28.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Spread -30.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 239.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Spread -34.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Spread -10.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 217.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Spread -16.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Overtime | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Spread -19.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Spread -11.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Spread -9.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Spread -3.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 205.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Spread -15.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Race to 10 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
26 more outcomes are priced on Polymarket: the full board on Polymarket (opens in a new tab).
Close-only for US residentsChance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 74¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on this match
The same match on each venue: Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
| Venue | Mavericks | Heat | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 27¢ | 74¢cheapest to buy | free | $14K | $73K | Trade → |
| Polymarket USUS residents only | 26¢ | 75¢cheapest to buy | 1.3¢ | – | – | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 25¢cheapest to buy | 76¢ | 1.3¢ | $8K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 26 at 7:30PM ET: If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Scheduled resolution: Oct 26, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 74¢ for Heat right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
More NBA markets
Lakers vs. Jazz
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Oct 25, 2026
$1.3M in 24h on Polymarket
Pistons vs. 76ers
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Oct 25, 2026
$859K in 24h on Polymarket
NBA: 2027 Champion
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Jun 30, 2027
$1.3M in 24h on Polymarket and Kalshi
Grizzlies vs. Kings
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Oct 25, 2026
$686K in 24h on Polymarket
Raptors vs. Timberwolves
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Oct 25, 2026
$826K in 24h on Polymarket and Kalshi
Pacers vs. Nets
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Oct 25, 2026
$615K in 24h on Polymarket
Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Mavericks vs. Heat?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Heat, at 74%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. It trades on Polymarket US and Kalshi. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows every venue’s prices and rules.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.