Polymarket NBA to announce expansion team in Las Vegas odds
On Polymarket, the busiest line, November 6, is at 96%. The market settles by Nov 6, 2026, and $229 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 96¢ reads as a 96% chance.
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 5 | 1% | 1¢ | $34 | Trade |
| November 6 | 96% | 96¢ | $10 | Trade |
| October 7 | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| October 8 | 25% | 25¢ | $10 | Trade |
| October 9 | 27% | 27¢ | $0 | Trade |
| October 6 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| October 16 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| October 23 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| October 30 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| October 1Final | 0% | 0¢ | $0 |
Show 4 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 2Final | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| October 3Final | 0% | 0¢ | $0 | |
| October 4Final | 0% | 0¢ | $176 | |
| September 30Final | 0% | 0¢ | $0 |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 1¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Basketball Association (NBA) officially announces an expansion team in Las Vegas between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying announcement is an official NBA announcement that the league has selected an ownership group for a Las Vegas expansion franchise, or that its Board of Governors has approved an expansion franchise in Las Vegas. An announcement of a selected ownership group will qualify even if Board of Governors approval or completion of the transaction is still pending.
The announcement must be made through the NBA's official channels or by the NBA Commissioner or another authorized NBA representative. Announcements that the league is exploring or evaluating expansion, general statements of interest in or intent to expand to Las Vegas, bidding deadlines or timelines, lists of finalist bidders, statements made only by a bidding group or other third parties, and media reports not confirmed by an official NBA announcement will not qualify.
The franchise's home market must be in the Las Vegas metropolitan area (Clark County, Nevada). The relocation of an existing NBA franchise will not qualify. A qualifying announcement will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when the team is scheduled to begin play, or whether the selection or approval is later reversed.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Nov 6, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 1¢ for October 5 right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
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Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on NBA to announce expansion team in Las Vegas?
On Polymarket, the busiest line, November 6, is at 96%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.