Polymarket NCAA Football: Team to make College Football Playoffs odds
On Polymarket, the busiest line, Oregon, is at 6%. The market settles on the result, and $5K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 6¢ reads as a 6% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon | 6% | 6¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Texas Tech | 48% | 48¢ | $951 | Trade |
| Iowa | 11% | 11¢ | $415 | Trade |
| Kentucky | 43% | 43¢ | $359 | Trade |
| Houston | 4% | 4¢ | $320 | Trade |
| BYU | 53% | 53¢ | $158 | Trade |
| Alabama | 61% | 61¢ | $151 | Trade |
| USC | 26% | 26¢ | $115 | Trade |
| LSU | 50% | 50¢ | $106 | Trade |
| Michigan | 4% | 4¢ | $57 | Trade |
Show 27 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana | 87% | 87¢ | $30 | Trade |
| Ole Miss | 41% | 41¢ | $5 | Trade |
| Miami (FL) | 93% | 93¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Notre Dame | 92% | 92¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Georgia | 86% | 86¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Ohio St. | 80% | 80¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Utah | 56% | 56¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Tennessee | 52% | 52¢ | $0 | Trade |
| SMU | 23% | 23¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Florida | 22% | 22¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Illinois | 13% | 13¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Penn St. | 12% | 12¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Missouri | 9% | 9¢ | $0 | Trade |
| South Carolina | 9% | 9¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Auburn | 6% | 6¢ | $0 | Trade |
| James Madison | 6% | 6¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Oklahoma St. | 5% | 5¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Louisville | 5% | 5¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Oklahoma | 4% | 4¢ | $0 | Trade |
| California | 4% | 4¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Pittsburgh | 4% | 4¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Texas A&M | 4% | 4¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Georgia Tech | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Vanderbilt | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Virginia Tech | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Washington | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Texas | – | – | $82 | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 6¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team is selected to participate in the 2026 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
If the selected team does not participate in the College Football Playoffs for any reason, this market will resolve "No".
If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the participating teams cannot be determined by December 20, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Is Polymarket legit? Our review covers safety, sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 6¢ for Oregon right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
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Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
More College football markets
Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on NCAA Football: Team to make College Football Playoffs?
On Polymarket, the busiest line, Oregon, is at 6%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.