Polymarket NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Jeremiah Smith, at 46%. The market settles by Dec 26, 2026, and $4K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 46¢ reads as a 46% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Also priced on Kalshi: 5 questions compared ↓
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Smith compare | 46% | 46¢ | $450 | Trade |
| Darian Mensah compare | 24% | 24¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Malachi Toney | 18% | 18¢ | $520 | Trade |
| Ahmad Hardy | 4% | 4¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Drew Mestemaker | 4% | 4¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Bo Jackson | 4% | 4¢ | $0 | Trade |
| LaNorris Sellers | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Kewan Lacy | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Gunner Stockton | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Sam Leavitt | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
Show 21 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante Moore compare | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Josh Hoover | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| CJ Carr compare | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Trinidad Chambliss | 2% | 2¢ | $431 | Trade |
| Keelon Russell compare | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Arch Manning | 2% | 2¢ | $60 | Trade |
| Kevin Jennings | 1% | 1¢ | $75 | Trade |
| Rocco Becht | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Julian Sayin | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Brendan Sorsby | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Jayden Maiava | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Austin Mack | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| John Mateer | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Marcel Reed | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Will Hammond | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Bryce Underwood | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Byrum Brown | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Demond Williams Jr. | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Jadan Baugh | – | – | $50 | Trade |
| Kamario Taylor | – | – | $0 | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 46¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on these questions
The same questions on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 46¢ | 55¢ | 1.2¢ | $450 | $4K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 44¢cheapest to buy | 57¢ | 1.7¢ | $24K | – | Trade → |
Will Darian Mensah win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 24¢ | 77¢ | 0.9¢ | $2K | $3K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 24¢ | 76¢ | 1.3¢ | $27K | – | Trade → |
Will CJ Carr win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 2¢cheapest to buy | 98¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | $2K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 5¢ | 96¢ | 0.3¢ | $3K | – | Trade → |
Will Dante Moore win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 2¢ | 98¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | $8K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $0 | – | Trade → |
Will Keelon Russell win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 2¢ | 98¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | $793 | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $2K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026.
If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Is Polymarket safe? Our review covers how your money is held and paid out.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 46¢ for Jeremiah Smith right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Jeremiah Smith, at 46%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. The 5 questions both venues price are compared above, each with its own side-by-side page.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.