Polymarket NHL Hart Memorial Trophy odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Connor McDavid, at 58%. The market settles by Jun 30, 2027, and $55 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 58¢ reads as a 58% chance. Polymarket US and Kalshi list it too, and we compare the prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Also on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Also priced on Polymarket US and Kalshi: compare them
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McDavid compare | 58% | 58¢ | $14 | Trade |
| Macklin Celebrini | 13% | 13¢ | $41 | Trade |
| Kirill Kaprizov | 5% | 5¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Auston Matthews | 5% | 5¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Connor Bedard | 5% | 5¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 4% | 4¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Jack Eichel | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Stuart Skinner | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Zach Werenski | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
Show 30 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.T. Miller | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Mitchell Marner | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Dustin Wolf | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Roman Josi | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Logan Stankoven | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Lucas Raymond | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Nazem Kadri | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Adrian Kempe | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Jacob Markstrom | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Quinton Byfield | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Nikita Kucherov | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Cale Makar | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Logan Thompson | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Jack Hughes | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Evan Bouchard | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Linus Ullmark | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Evgeni Malkin | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Alexander Ovechkin | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Matt Boldy | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Filip Gustavsson | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Andrei Vasilevskiy | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Owen Tippett | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Jake Guentzel | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| David Pastrnak | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Sidney Crosby | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Elias Pettersson | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Filip Forsberg | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Jake Oettinger | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Ivan Demidov | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
78 more outcomes are priced on Polymarket: the full board on Polymarket (opens in a new tab).
Close-only for US residentsChance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 58¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on this question
The same question on each venue: Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 58¢ | 42¢ | 1.2¢ | $14 | $2K | Trade → |
| Polymarket USUS residents only | 56¢cheapest to buy | 45¢ | 1.7¢ | – | – | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 58¢ | 42¢ | 1.7¢ | $77 | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Hart Memorial Trophy for the 2026-27 NHL season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NHL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Jun 30, 2027.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Is Polymarket safe? Our review covers how your money is held and paid out.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 58¢ for Connor McDavid right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Connor McDavid, at 58%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. It trades on Polymarket US and Kalshi. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows every venue’s prices and rules.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.