Will Connor McDavid win the 2026-27 Hart Memorial Trophy? Odds and prices
Markets price "Will Connor McDavid win the 2026-27 Hart Memorial Trophy" at 57%, with 3 venues quoting within 3 points of each other. The contract settles by Jun 30, 2027; each venue words its settlement rules itself, compared below.
This question on Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi.
Odds by venue
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 58¢ | 42¢ | 1.2¢ | $14 | $2K | Trade → |
| Polymarket USUS residents only | 56¢cheapest to buy | 45¢ | 1.7¢ | – | – | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 59¢ | 42¢ | 1.7¢ | $77 | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
One venue's series for the result the headline prices, not a blend; venues tick at different cadences and interpolating one onto the other would invent points.
What the market is actually pricing
Venues word settlement differently for the same question, and the difference decides who gets paid. This is the comparison no venue publishes about its rivals.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Hart Memorial Trophy for the 2026-27 NHL season.
Full settlement wording
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Hart Memorial Trophy for the 2026-27 NHL season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NHL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will settle to Yes if Connor McDavid wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy for the 2026-27 regular season.
Full settlement wording
This market will settle to Yes if Connor McDavid wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy for the 2026-27 regular season. If Connor McDavid ties with one or more other players for the award Yes contract holders receive $1.00 divided by the number of tied players, rounded down to the nearest cent, per contract. Outcome sourced from NHL.
If Connor McDavid wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2026-27 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Where you can trade this
The Trade links in the tables above open each venue's own market. The reviews cover sign-up, funding and payouts.
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Common questions
What are the odds on "Will Connor McDavid win the 2026-27 Hart Memorial Trophy"?
Markets currently price it at 57% across 3 venues, a market-implied probability rather than a forecast.
Where can I trade "Will Connor McDavid win the 2026-27 Hart Memorial Trophy"?
On Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi. Polymarket US takes US residents only; from the US, polymarket.com is close-only. Availability by state varies for sports contracts; see the legal pages.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Different traders, different fees, and different settlement wording. The gap is the reason this page exists; the cheaper side is marked in the table.