Polymarket FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is FC Barcelona, at 62%. The market settles by Oct 25, 2026, and $2.4M traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 62¢ reads as a 62% chance. Polymarket US and Kalshi list it too, and we compare the prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Also on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Also priced on Polymarket US and Kalshi: compare them
Polymarket odds on every outcome
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 62¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on this match
The same match on each venue: Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
FC Barcelona · Will FC Barcelona win on Oct 25, 2026?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 62¢cheapest to buy | 39¢ | 1.2¢ | $1.1M | $733K | Trade → |
| Polymarket USUS residents only | 63¢ | 38¢ | 1.6¢ | – | – | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 62¢cheapest to buy | 38¢ | 1.6¢ | $1.5M | – | Trade → |
Draw · Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 16¢ | 85¢ | 0.7¢ | $132K | $1.4M | Trade → |
| Polymarket USUS residents only | 16¢ | 85¢ | 0.9¢ | – | – | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 16¢ | 85¢ | 0.9¢ | $318K | – | Trade → |
Real Madrid CF · Will Real Madrid CF win on Oct 25, 2026?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 24¢cheapest to buy | 77¢ | 0.9¢ | $1.2M | $857K | Trade → |
| Polymarket USUS residents only | 24¢cheapest to buy | 77¢ | 1.2¢ | – | – | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 25¢ | 76¢ | 1.3¢ | $2.9M | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
The market asks: “Will FC Barcelona win on Oct 25, 2026?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Polymarket publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Scheduled resolution: Oct 25, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 62¢ for FC Barcelona right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
More sports markets
LALIGA: 2027 Champion
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Jun 14, 2027
$59K in 24h, both venues
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Betis Balompié
Polymarket · resolves Oct 25, 2026
$14K in 24h on Polymarket
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Oct 25, 2026
$48K in 24h on Polymarket and Kalshi
LaLiga: Top Goalscorer 2026-27
Polymarket · Polymarket US · resolves Jun 14, 2027
$3K in 24h on Polymarket
LaLiga: Teams relegated (2026-27)
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Jun 30, 2027
$1K in 24h on Polymarket
Sevilla FC vs. CA Osasuna
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Oct 26, 2026
$3K in 24h on Polymarket and Kalshi
Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF?
On Polymarket, the favourite is FC Barcelona, at 62%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. It trades on Polymarket US and Kalshi. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows every venue’s prices and rules.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.