France vs. Türkiye odds, Nov 15

82%
Favourite: France

Consensus across 2 venues · Updated

Markets price France 82%, a draw 13%, Türkiye 7%, with 2 venues quoting each result. Kickoff Sun, Nov 15, 2:45pm ET. Each venue words its settlement rules itself, compared below.

This match on Polymarket and Kalshi.

$175K
24h volume, both venues
2
venues quoting
Sun, Nov 15, 2:45pm ET
kickoff

Odds by venue

France · Will France win on Nov 15, 2026?

France: Will France win on Nov 15, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents82¢19¢0.8¢$28K$138KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus82¢19¢1.1¢$53K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Draw · Will France vs. Türkiye end in a draw?

Draw: Will France vs. Türkiye end in a draw?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents13¢88¢0.5¢$1K$149KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus13¢88¢0.8¢$279–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Türkiye · Will Türkiye win on Nov 15, 2026?

Türkiye: Will Türkiye win on Nov 15, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents7¢cheapest to buy94¢0.3¢$80K$277KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus8¢93¢0.5¢$13K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · France
82%▲ 34.0 pts since Nov 8
Yes price
Nov 846% – 86% scaleNov 15

One venue's series for the result the headline prices, not a blend; venues tick at different cadences and interpolating one onto the other would invent points.

What the market is actually pricing

Venues word settlement differently for the same question, and the difference decides who gets paid. This is the comparison no venue publishes about its rivals.

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between France and Türkiye, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If…

Full settlement wording

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between France and Türkiye, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If France wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The following abandonment rules apply only when this market's outcome was not already definitively determined under its rules before abandonment. If the game is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned game. If a result is awarded by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that determines this market's outcome, this market will resolve based on the awarded result, regardless of the score as played. If no such result is awarded and the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the game as played. If the game is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result. In any other case, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition. If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from UEFA Nations League (https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/). If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "No".

Kalshi

If France wins the France vs Turkiye professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties),…

The following market refers to the France vs Turkiye professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Where you can trade this

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Common questions

What are the odds on "France vs. Türkiye"?

Markets price France 82%, a draw 13%, Türkiye 7% across 2 venues: market-implied probabilities rather than forecasts.

Where can I trade "France vs. Türkiye"?

On Polymarket and Kalshi. Availability by state varies for sports contracts; see the legal pages.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Different traders, different fees, and different settlement wording. The gap is the reason this page exists; the cheaper side is marked in the table.