Germany vs. Netherlands odds, Nov 16
Markets price Germany 51%, a draw 23%, Netherlands 27%, with 2 venues quoting each result. Kickoff Mon, Nov 16, 2:45pm ET. Each venue words its settlement rules itself, compared below.
This match on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Odds by venue
Germany · Will Germany win on Nov 16, 2026?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 51¢cheapest to buy | 50¢ | 1.2¢ | $4K | $53K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 52¢ | 49¢ | 1.7¢ | $3K | – | Trade → |
Draw · Will Germany vs. Netherlands end in a draw?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 23¢ | 78¢ | 0.9¢ | $97 | $57K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 23¢ | 78¢ | 1.2¢ | $346 | – | Trade → |
Netherlands · Will Netherlands win on Nov 16, 2026?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 27¢ | 74¢ | 1.0¢ | $2K | $50K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 27¢ | 74¢ | 1.4¢ | $14K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
One venue's series for the result the headline prices, not a blend; venues tick at different cadences and interpolating one onto the other would invent points.
What the market is actually pricing
Venues word settlement differently for the same question, and the difference decides who gets paid. This is the comparison no venue publishes about its rivals.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Germany and Netherlands, originally scheduled for Monday, November 16, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):…
Full settlement wording
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Germany and Netherlands, originally scheduled for Monday, November 16, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If Germany wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The following abandonment rules apply only when this market's outcome was not already definitively determined under its rules before abandonment. If the game is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned game. If a result is awarded by Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that determines this market's outcome, this market will resolve based on the awarded result, regardless of the score as played. If no such result is awarded and the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the game as played. If the game is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result. In any other case, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition. If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from UEFA Nations League (https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/). If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "No".
If Germany wins the Germany vs Netherlands professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or…
Full settlement wording
If Germany wins the Germany vs Netherlands professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Germany vs Netherlands professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Where you can trade this
The Trade links in the tables above open each venue's own market. The reviews cover sign-up, funding and payouts.
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Common questions
What are the odds on "Germany vs. Netherlands"?
Markets price Germany 51%, a draw 23%, Netherlands 27% across 2 venues: market-implied probabilities rather than forecasts.
Where can I trade "Germany vs. Netherlands"?
On Polymarket and Kalshi. Availability by state varies for sports contracts; see the legal pages.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Different traders, different fees, and different settlement wording. The gap is the reason this page exists; the cheaper side is marked in the table.