Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27? Odds and prices
"Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27" is priced at 54% on Polymarket and 41% on Kalshi, 13 points apart: the venues disagree, so 47% is their average, not a consensus. The contract settles by Jun 30, 2027; each venue words its settlement rules itself, compared below.
This question on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Odds by venue
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 54¢ | 47¢ | 1.2¢ | $10 | $4K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 41¢cheapest to buy | 59¢ | 1.7¢ | $381 | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
One venue's series for the result the headline prices, not a blend; venues tick at different cadences and interpolating one onto the other would invent points.
What the market is actually pricing
Venues word settlement differently for the same question, and the difference decides who gets paid. This is the comparison no venue publishes about its rivals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Manchester City FC is officially relegated from the English Premier League following the 2026-27 season, or is expelled from the Premier League by June 30, 2027,…
Full settlement wording
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Manchester City FC is officially relegated from the English Premier League following the 2026-27 season, or is expelled from the Premier League by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Relegation or expulsion for any reason will count, including as a result of points deductions or other sanctions imposed in the Premier League's proceedings against Manchester City FC concerning alleged breaches of the Premier League's financial rules, which were announced on February 6, 2023 (commonly referred to as the "115 charges" case). An expulsion will count once it is officially imposed and announced, regardless of whether it is later appealed or overturned.
If the 2026-27 Premier League season is not completed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No", unless Manchester City FC has been expelled by that date.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Premier League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Manchester City is relegated from the EPL in 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Where you can trade this
The Trade links in the tables above open each venue's own market. The reviews cover sign-up, funding and payouts.
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Common questions
What are the odds on "Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27"?
The venues disagree: 54% on Polymarket and 41% on Kalshi. The 47% shown is their average; the gap often comes from settlement rules worded differently, compared on this page.
Where can I trade "Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27"?
On Polymarket and Kalshi. Availability by state varies for sports contracts; see the legal pages.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Different traders, different fees, and different settlement wording. The gap is the reason this page exists; the cheaper side is marked in the table.