Polymarket US marketKickoff Sun, Oct 25, 12:30pm ET

Polymarket US Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC odds

On Polymarket US, the favourite is Leeds United FC, at 38%. That price is unchanged over the past week. The market settles by Oct 25, 2026. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 38¢ reads as a 38% chance. Polymarket and Kalshi list it too, and we compare the prices below.

Trade on Polymarket US

US residents only

Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page

Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page

Polymarket US · odds · updated

Leeds United FC38%
Sunderland AFC33%
Draw31%

Also priced on Polymarket and Kalshi: compare them

–
24h volume not published by Polymarket US
$13K
total volume on Polymarket US
$14K
open interest
Oct 25, 2026
settles

Polymarket US odds on every outcome

Polymarket US odds on each outcome of Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Leeds United FC compare 38%38¢–Trade
Sunderland AFC compare 33%33¢–Trade
Draw compare 31%31¢–Trade
US residents only

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket US. A Yes contract at 38¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Polymarket US vs Kalshi on this match

The same match on each venue: Polymarket US, Polymarket and Kalshi. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Sunderland AFC · Will Sunderland AFC win on Oct 25, 2026?

Sunderland AFC: Will Sunderland AFC win on Oct 25, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents33¢68¢1.1¢$83K$410KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only33¢68¢1.5¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus33¢68¢1.5¢$11K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Draw · Will Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?

Draw: Will Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents31¢70¢1.1¢$3K$482KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only31¢70¢1.5¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus31¢70¢1.5¢$3K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Leeds United FC · Will Leeds United FC win on Oct 25, 2026?

Leeds United FC: Will Leeds United FC win on Oct 25, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents37¢cheapest to buy64¢1.2¢$113K$427KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only38¢63¢1.6¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus38¢63¢1.6¢$39K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Polymarket US · Leeds United FC
38%unchanged since Oct 18
Yes price
Oct 1831% – 48% scaleOct 25

Polymarket US's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The market asks: “Will Leeds United FC win against Sunderland AFC in the Premier League match scheduled for Oct 25, 2026?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Polymarket US publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Polymarket US (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Oct 25, 2026.

How to trade this market on Polymarket US

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket US account. It takes US residents only; outside the US, Polymarket is the international exchange. Is Polymarket legit? Our review covers safety, sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 38¢ for Leeds United FC right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket US's fees apply to each trade.
US residents only

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Common questions

What are the Polymarket US odds on Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC?

On Polymarket US, the favourite is Leeds United FC, at 38%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket US's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Polymarket and Kalshi too?

Yes. It trades on Polymarket and Kalshi. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows every venue’s prices and rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket US odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket US?

A taker fee on each contract of 0.0695 × price × (1 − price), largest near 50¢; resting (maker) orders pay nothing. Polymarket US's fees has the detail.