Polymarket US marketKickoff Wed, Oct 28, 8:30pm ET

Polymarket US Chicago Fire FC vs. Orlando City SC odds

On Polymarket US, the favourite is Chicago Fire FC, at 58%. That is down 1 point over the past week. The market settles by Oct 29, 2026. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 58¢ reads as a 58% chance. Polymarket and Kalshi list it too, and we compare the prices below.

Trade on Polymarket US

US residents only

Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page

Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page

Polymarket US · odds · updated

Chicago Fire FC58%
Orlando City SC23%
Draw20%

Also priced on Polymarket and Kalshi: compare them

–
24h volume not published by Polymarket US
$2
total volume on Polymarket US
$9
open interest
Oct 29, 2026
settles

Polymarket US odds on every outcome

Polymarket US odds on each outcome of Chicago Fire FC vs. Orlando City SC
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Chicago Fire FC compare 58%58¢–Trade
Orlando City SC compare 23%23¢–Trade
Draw compare 20%20¢–Trade
US residents only

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket US. A Yes contract at 58¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Polymarket US vs Kalshi on this match

The same match on each venue: Polymarket US, Polymarket and Kalshi. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Chicago Fire FC · Will Chicago Fire FC win on Oct 28, 2026?

Chicago Fire FC: Will Chicago Fire FC win on Oct 28, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents58¢cheapest to buy43¢1.2¢$132$9KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only58¢cheapest to buy42¢1.7¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus59¢42¢1.7¢$18–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Draw · Will Chicago Fire FC vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?

Draw: Will Chicago Fire FC vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents20¢81¢0.8¢$10$10KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only20¢81¢1.1¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus20¢81¢1.1¢$24–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Orlando City SC · Will Orlando City SC win on Oct 28, 2026?

Orlando City SC: Will Orlando City SC win on Oct 28, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents23¢78¢0.9¢$62$11KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only23¢77¢1.2¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus23¢78¢1.2¢$286–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Polymarket US · Chicago Fire FC
58%▼ 1.0 pts since Oct 25
Yes price
Oct 2550% – 68% scaleOct 25

Polymarket US's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The market asks: “Will Chicago Fire FC win against Orlando City SC in the MLS match scheduled for Oct 28, 2026?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Polymarket US publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Polymarket US (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Oct 29, 2026.

How to trade this market on Polymarket US

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket US account. It takes US residents only; outside the US, Polymarket is the international exchange. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 58¢ for Chicago Fire FC right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket US's fees apply to each trade.
US residents only

CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.

Common questions

What are the Polymarket US odds on Chicago Fire FC vs. Orlando City SC?

On Polymarket US, the favourite is Chicago Fire FC, at 58%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket US's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Polymarket and Kalshi too?

Yes. It trades on Polymarket and Kalshi. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows every venue’s prices and rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket US odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket US?

A taker fee on each contract of 0.0695 × price × (1 − price), largest near 50¢; resting (maker) orders pay nothing. Polymarket US's fees has the detail.