Polymarket US marketStarts Sat, Nov 14, 8:00pm ET

Polymarket US UFC 334: Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims) odds

On Polymarket US, the favourite is Chris Duncan, at 63%. That is up 3 points over the past week. The market settles by Nov 14, 2026. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 63¢ reads as a 63% chance. Polymarket and Kalshi list it too, and we compare the prices below.

Claim $25 bonus on Polymarket USTrade on Polymarket US

US residents only

$25 bonusNew to Polymarket US? Deposit $10, get a $25 bonus through our link. US only, 18+.

Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page

Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page

Polymarket US · odds · updated

Drew Dober38%
Chris Duncan63%

Also priced on Polymarket and Kalshi: compare them

–
24h volume not published by Polymarket US
$44K
total volume on Polymarket US
$18K
open interest
Nov 14, 2026
settles

Polymarket US odds on every outcome

Polymarket US odds on each outcome of UFC 334: Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Drew Dober38%38¢–Trade
Chris Duncan63%63¢–Trade
US residents only

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket US. A Yes contract at 38¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Polymarket US vs Kalshi on this match

The same match on each venue: Polymarket US, Polymarket and Kalshi. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Drew Dober: UFC 334: Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims): price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueDrew DoberChris DuncanFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents38¢cheapest to buy63¢1.2¢$40K$45KTrade →
Polymarket US$25 bonusUS residents only38¢cheapest to buy63¢1.6–2.2¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus39¢63¢1.7¢$21K–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 to 0.095 × price × (1 − price) to takers, by 30-day volume, and nothing to makers).

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Polymarket US · Chris Duncan
63%▲ 3.0 pts since Nov 7
Yes price
Nov 753% – 69% scaleNov 14

Polymarket US's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The contract is “Drew Dober vs Chris Duncan”. A Yes contract pays $1 if the answer is yes, and nothing if not. Polymarket US publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Polymarket US (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Nov 14, 2026.

How to trade this market on Polymarket US

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket US account. It takes US residents only; outside the US, Polymarket is the international exchange. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 38¢ for Drew Dober right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket US's fees apply to each trade.
US residents only

$25 bonusNew to Polymarket US? Deposit $10, get a $25 bonus through our link. US only, 18+.

CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.

Common questions

What are the Polymarket US odds on UFC 334: Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)?

On Polymarket US, the favourite is Chris Duncan, at 63%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket US's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Polymarket and Kalshi too?

Yes. It trades on Polymarket and Kalshi. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows every venue’s prices and rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket US odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket US?

A taker fee on each contract of 0.0695 to 0.095 × price × (1 − price), largest near 50¢. Your 30-day volume sets the rate, and resting (maker) orders pay nothing. Polymarket US's fees has the detail.