Polymarket UFC 334: Macy Chiasson vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Early Prelims) odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Bia Mesquita, at 71%. The market settles by Nov 14, 2026, and $19K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 71¢ reads as a 71% chance. It also trades on Polymarket US, linked below; no Kalshi market is matched yet.
Also on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bia Mesquita | 71% | 71¢ | $8K | Trade |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds · Under | 62% | 62¢ | $11K | Trade |
| Fight won by submission | 50% | 50¢ | $27 | Trade |
| Ends before Round 3 | 57% | 57¢ | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds · Over | 56% | 56¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Decision or Draw | 38% | 38¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Fight won by decision | 38% | 38¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Mesquita in Round 1 | 36% | 36¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Ends before Round 2 | 34% | 34¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Fight to Go the Distance | 31% | 31¢ | $0 | Trade |
Show 9 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Fight won by KO/TKO | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Mesquita in Round 2 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Chiasson to win by KO/TKO | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Mesquita in Round 3 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Mesquita to win by KO/TKO | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Chiasson in Round 3 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Chiasson in Round 1 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Chiasson in Round 2 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 71¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to "Macy Chiasson" if Macy Chiasson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Bia Mesquita at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026.
It will resolve to "Bia Mesquita" if Bia Mesquita is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Scheduled resolution: Nov 14, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket app review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 71¢ for Bia Mesquita right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
The same question trades on Polymarket US too: Polymarket US's page. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on UFC 334: Macy Chiasson vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Early Prelims)?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Bia Mesquita, at 71%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here. It also trades on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.