Polymarket US Macy Chiasson vs. Bia Mesquita odds
On Polymarket US, the favourite is Bia Mesquita, at 70%. That is up 4 points over the past week. The market settles by Nov 14, 2026. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 70¢ reads as a 70% chance. It also trades on Polymarket, linked below; no Kalshi market is matched yet.
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Polymarket US · odds · updated
Polymarket US odds on every outcome
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket US. A Yes contract at 31¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket US's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
The contract is “Macy Chiasson vs Bia Mesquita”. A Yes contract pays $1 if the answer is yes, and nothing if not. Polymarket US publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Polymarket US (opens in a new tab)
Scheduled resolution: Nov 14, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket US
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket US account. It takes US residents only; outside the US, Polymarket is the international exchange. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 31¢ for Macy Chiasson right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket US's fees apply to each trade.
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The same question trades on Polymarket too: Polymarket's page. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket US odds on Macy Chiasson vs. Bia Mesquita?
On Polymarket US, the favourite is Bia Mesquita, at 70%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket US's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here. It also trades on Polymarket: Polymarket's page.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket US odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket US?
A taker fee on each contract of 0.0695 to 0.095 × price × (1 − price), largest near 50¢. Your 30-day volume sets the rate, and resting (maker) orders pay nothing. Polymarket US's fees has the detail.