Polymarket marketKickoff Sat, Oct 31, 11:30am ET

Polymarket Moreirense FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora odds

On Polymarket, the favourite is CF Estrela da Amadora, at 39%. That is up 11 points over the past week. The market settles by Oct 31, 2026. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 39¢ reads as a 39% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.

Trade on Polymarket

Close-only for US residents

Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page

Polymarket · odds · updated

CF Estrela da Amadora39%
Moreirense FC32%
Draw29%

Also priced on Kalshi: compare both

–
24h volume on Polymarket
$3
total volume on Polymarket
3
open of 3 outcomes
Oct 31, 2026
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of Moreirense FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
CF Estrela da Amadora compare 39%39¢$0Trade
Moreirense FC compare 32%32¢$0Trade
Draw compare 29%29¢$0Trade
Close-only for US residents

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 39¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Polymarket vs Kalshi on this match

The same match on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Moreirense FC · Will Moreirense FC win on Oct 31, 2026?

Moreirense FC: Will Moreirense FC win on Oct 31, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents32¢69¢1.1¢$0$3KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus32¢68¢1.5¢$0–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Draw · Will Moreirense FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw?

Draw: Will Moreirense FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents29¢71¢1.0¢$0$3KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus29¢72¢1.4¢$0–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

CF Estrela da Amadora · Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on Oct 31, 2026?

CF Estrela da Amadora: Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on Oct 31, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents39¢cheapest to buy61¢1.2¢$0$4KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus40¢61¢1.7¢$0–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · CF Estrela da Amadora
39%▲ 10.5 pts since Oct 19
Yes price
Oct 1929% – 41% scaleOct 26

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The market asks: “Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on Oct 31, 2026?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Polymarket publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Oct 31, 2026.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 39¢ for CF Estrela da Amadora right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
Close-only for US residents

CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.

Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on Moreirense FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora?

On Polymarket, the favourite is CF Estrela da Amadora, at 39%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.