Polymarket market

Polymarket UEFA Nations League A: Teams relegated (2026-27) odds

On Polymarket, the busiest line, Czechia, is at 88%. The market settles by Apr 13, 2027, and $1K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 88¢ reads as an 88% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.

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Polymarket · odds · updated

Czechia88%
Norway24%
Wales43%
Türkiye82%
Serbia82%

All 14 outcomes ↓

$1K
24h volume on Polymarket
$46K
total volume on Polymarket
14
open of 14 outcomes
Apr 13, 2027
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of UEFA Nations League A: Teams relegated (2026-27)
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Czechia88%88¢$192Trade
Norway24%24¢$151Trade
Wales43%43¢$80Trade
Türkiye82%82¢$57Trade
Serbia82%82¢$0Trade
Croatia34%34¢$0Trade
Denmark14%14¢$0Trade
Italy7%7¢$0Trade
England4%4¢$0Trade
Greece4%4¢$0Trade
Show 4 more outcomes
Polymarket odds on each outcome of UEFA Nations League A: Teams relegated (2026-27)
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Belgium3%3¢$0Trade
France1%1¢$560Trade
Spain2%2¢$0Trade
Portugal1%1¢$0Trade
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Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 88¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Czechia
88%unchanged since Oct 19
Yes price
Oct 1980% – 96% scaleOct 26

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.

Show the full rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from UEFA Nations League A at the conclusion of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in UEFA Nations League A for the 2028-29 UEFA Nations League through their final standing in the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League A league phase, via promotion/relegation play-off defeat, or by any other official decision recognized by UEFA.

If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after April 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Scheduled resolution: Apr 13, 2027.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket app review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 88¢ for Czechia right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
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Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.

Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on UEFA Nations League A: Teams relegated (2026-27)?

On Polymarket, the busiest line, Czechia, is at 88%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.