Polymarket UEFA Nations League Winner 2026-27 odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Spain, at 34%. The market settles by Jun 13, 2027, and $512 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 34¢ reads as a 34% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Also priced on Kalshi: compare both
11 of these outcomes are priced on Kalshi too: the favourite is compared below, and each outcome links its own comparison.
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain compare | 34% | 34¢ | $384 | Trade |
| France | 19% | 19¢ | $80 | Trade |
| England compare | 19% | 19¢ | $48 | Trade |
| Portugal compare | 10% | 10¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Greece compare | 6% | 6¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Netherlands compare | 6% | 6¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Germany compare | 4% | 4¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Denmark compare | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Italy compare | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Belgium compare | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
Show 6 more outcomes
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 34¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on this question
The same question on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 34¢cheapest to buy | 66¢ | 1.1¢ | $384 | $24K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 35¢ | 66¢ | 1.6¢ | $172 | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Jun 13, 2027.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 34¢ for Spain right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on UEFA Nations League Winner 2026-27?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Spain, at 34%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.