Polymarket UFC 334: Stephen Thompson vs. Charles Radtke (Welterweight, Prelims) odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Stephen Thompson, at 54%. The market settles by Nov 14, 2026, and $23K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 54¢ reads as a 54% chance. Polymarket US and Kalshi list it too, and we compare the prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Also on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Also priced on Polymarket US and Kalshi: compare them
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Thompson compare | 54% | 54¢ | $23K | Trade |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds · Over | 65% | 65¢ | $160 | Trade |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds · Over | 65% | 65¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Fight to Go the Distance | 60% | 60¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Fight won by decision | 56% | 56¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Decision or Draw | 56% | 56¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Fight won by KO/TKO | 48% | 48¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Thompson to win by KO/TKO | 34% | 34¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Ends before Round 3 | 32% | 32¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Ends before Round 2 | 17% | 17¢ | $0 | Trade |
Show 9 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Radtke to win by KO/TKO | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Radtke in Round 1 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Fight won by submission | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Radtke in Round 2 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Radtke in Round 3 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Thompson in Round 1 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Thompson in Round 3 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Thompson in Round 2 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 54¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on this match
The same match on each venue: Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
| Venue | Stephen Thompson | Charles Radtke | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 54¢cheapest to buy | 47¢ | 1.2¢ | $23K | $78K | Trade → |
| Polymarket US$25 bonusUS residents only | 56¢ | 45¢cheapest to buy | 1.7–2.3¢ | – | – | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 56¢ | 45¢cheapest to buy | 1.7¢ | $38K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to "Stephen Thompson" if Stephen Thompson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Charles Radtke at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026.
It will resolve to "Charles Radtke" if Charles Radtke is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Scheduled resolution: Nov 14, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 54¢ for Stephen Thompson right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on UFC 334: Stephen Thompson vs. Charles Radtke (Welterweight, Prelims)?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Stephen Thompson, at 54%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. It trades on Polymarket US and Kalshi. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows every venue’s prices and rules.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.