Will a Dota 2 match-fixing ban be announced before 2027? Polymarket odds
On Polymarket, Yes trades at 11%. That is down 15 points over the past week. The market settles by Dec 31, 2026. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 11¢ reads as an 11% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 11¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a qualifying body officially announces a ban or suspension of a Dota 2 player, coach, or team for match-fixing, match manipulation, or betting-related corruption. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a "qualifying body" is the Esports Integrity Commission (ESIC), Valve, Perfect World, or the organizer of a Dota 2 tournament listed as Tier 1, Tier 2, or Tier 3 on Liquipedia at the time of the announcement. Provisional suspensions qualify. Bans or suspensions for other reasons alone, such as cheating software, account sharing, toxic behavior, or unspecified "competitive integrity" reasons that are not described as match-fixing, match manipulation, or betting-related, will not qualify.
A new sanction announced within this market's timeframe qualifies, including a final ruling in a case opened before market creation. Appeal decisions, reductions, or restatements of sanctions that were first announced before market creation will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the qualifying body; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Dec 31, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 11¢ for Yes right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
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Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on “Will a Dota 2 match-fixing ban be announced before 2027?”?
On Polymarket, Yes trades at 11%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.