Kalshi Top Chinese AI company this month odds
On Kalshi, the favourite is Xiaomi, at 56%. The market settles by Nov 30, 2026, and $66 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 56¢ reads as a 56% chance. Polymarket and Polymarket US list it too, and we compare the prices below.
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Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page
Kalshi · odds · updated
Also priced on Polymarket and Polymarket US: 4 questions compared ↓
Kalshi odds on every outcome
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 56¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Kalshi vs Polymarket on these questions
The same questions on each venue: Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 18¢cheapest to buy | 83¢ | 0.6¢ | $387 | $4K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 35¢ | 65¢ | 1.6¢ | $8 | – | Trade → |
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 20¢ | 81¢ | 0.6¢ | $247 | $3K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 6¢ | 94¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | – | Trade → |
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 19¢ | 81¢ | 0.6¢ | $609 | $4K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 1¢ | 99¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | – | Trade → |
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 1¢ | 99¢ | <0.1¢ | $67 | $6K | Trade → |
| Polymarket US$25 bonusUS residents only | 2¢ | 99¢ | 0.1¢ | – | – | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 3¢ | 97¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
The contract is “Top Chinese AI company this month”. Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)
Scheduled resolution: Nov 30, 2026.
How to trade this market on Kalshi
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 56¢ for Xiaomi right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.
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Common questions
What are the Kalshi odds on Top Chinese AI company this month?
On Kalshi, the favourite is Xiaomi, at 56%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Polymarket too?
Yes. It trades on Polymarket and Polymarket US. Polymarket's page has its prices and rules. The 4 questions both venues price are compared above, each with its own side-by-side page.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Kalshi. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Kalshi odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?
A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.