Polymarket Xi Jinping out before 2027 odds
On Polymarket, Yes trades at 2%. The market settles by Dec 31, 2026, and $15K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 2¢ reads as a 2% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.
Polymarket · odds · updated
Polymarket odds on every outcome
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 2¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Scheduled resolution: Dec 31, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 2¢ for Yes right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
More world markets
Will Iran target Iraq?
Polymarket · resolves Oct 31, 2026
$154K in 24h on Polymarket
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...
Polymarket · resolves Dec 31, 2026
$92K in 24h on Polymarket
Will Iran target an Arab country?
Polymarket · resolves Oct 31, 2026
$71K in 24h on Polymarket
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Dec 31, 2026
$63K in 24h, both venues
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
Polymarket · resolves Dec 31, 2026
$25K in 24h on Polymarket
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced
Polymarket · resolves Dec 31, 2026
$22K in 24h on Polymarket
Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Xi Jinping out before 2027?
On Polymarket, Yes trades at 2%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.