Kalshi "Thriller" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Nov 7, 2026) odds
On Kalshi, the favourite is Rank 16 to 20, at 49%. The market settles by Nov 7, 2026, and $58K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 49¢ reads as a 49% chance.
Claim $50 bonus on KalshiTrade on Kalshi
$50 bonusNew to Kalshi? Trade $25, get a $50 bonus through our link. US only, 18+. Kalshi promo code terms
Kalshi · odds · updated
Kalshi odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank 16 to 20 | 49% | 49¢ | $5K | Trade |
| Rank 21 to 30 | 30% | 30¢ | $13K | Trade |
| Rank 11 to 15 | 13% | 13¢ | $794 | Trade |
| Rank 7 to 10 | 4% | 4¢ | $720 | Trade |
| Rank 5 to 6 | 4% | 4¢ | $319 | Trade |
| Rank 1 to 2 | 3% | 3¢ | $10K | Trade |
| Rank 41 to 50 | 2% | 2¢ | $7K | Trade |
| Rank 3 to 4 | 2% | 2¢ | $6K | Trade |
| Rank 31 to 40 | 2% | 2¢ | $5K | Trade |
| Rank 75 to 100 | 1% | 1¢ | $7K | Trade |
Show 1 more outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank 51 to 74 | 1% | 1¢ | $5K | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 49¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
The market asks: “Will "Thriller" rank No. 16–20 on Billboard Hot 100?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)
Scheduled resolution: Nov 7, 2026.
How to trade this market on Kalshi
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 49¢ for Rank 16 to 20 right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.
$50 bonusNew to Kalshi? Trade $25, get a $50 bonus through our link. US only, 18+. Kalshi promo code terms
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
Not on Polymarket here yet: we have not matched this question to a Polymarket market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
More culture markets
Will the US confirm that aliens exist?
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Dec 31, 2026
$360K in 24h on Polymarket and Kalshi
Oscar Winner: Best Picture
Kalshi · resolves Dec 31, 2027
$119K in 24h on Kalshi
Dancing with the Stars · Episode 8 Elimination
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Oct 28, 2026
$81K in 24h on Kalshi
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 26, 2026
Kalshi · resolves Nov 9, 2026
$79K in 24h on Kalshi
The Cat in the Hat · Rotten Tomatoes score
Kalshi · resolves Nov 9, 2026
$78K in 24h on Kalshi
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027
Polymarket · resolves Mar 31, 2028
$54K in 24h on Polymarket
Common questions
What are the Kalshi odds on "Thriller" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Nov 7, 2026)?
On Kalshi, the favourite is Rank 16 to 20, at 49%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Polymarket too?
We have not matched it to a Polymarket market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Kalshi. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Kalshi odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?
A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.