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Kalshi Tate McRae: Highest daily view count (September 28, 2026 - October 4, 2026) odds

On Kalshi, the busiest line, Above 3M, is at 4%. The market settles by Oct 8, 2026, and $30K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 4¢ reads as a 4% chance.

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Kalshi · odds · updated

Above 2.8M6%
Above 2.9M1%
Above 3M4%
Above 3.1M2%
Above 3.2M2%

All 24 outcomes ↓

$30K
24h volume on Kalshi
$46K
total volume on Kalshi
$35K
open interest
Oct 8, 2026
settles

Kalshi odds on every outcome

Kalshi odds on each outcome of Tate McRae: Highest daily view count (September 28, 2026 - October 4, 2026)
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Above 2.8M6%6¢$16Trade
Above 2.9M1%1¢$759Trade
Above 3M4%4¢$2KTrade
Above 3.1M2%2¢$2KTrade
Above 3.2M2%2¢$2KTrade
Above 4.6M4%4¢$1KTrade
Above 4.7M2%2¢$2KTrade
Above 5M1%1¢$0Trade
Above 2.7M––$83Trade
Above 3.3M––$1KTrade
Show 14 more outcomes
Kalshi odds on each outcome of Tate McRae: Highest daily view count (September 28, 2026 - October 4, 2026)
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Above 3.4M––$1KTrade
Above 3.5M––$1KTrade
Above 3.6M––$1KTrade
Above 3.7M––$1KTrade
Above 3.8M––$1KTrade
Above 3.9M––$1KTrade
Above 4M––$1KTrade
Above 4.1M––$1KTrade
Above 4.2M––$1KTrade
Above 4.3M––$1KTrade
Above 4.4M––$1KTrade
Above 4.5M––$1KTrade
Above 4.8M––$1KTrade
Above 4.9M––$2KTrade

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 6¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

How the odds have moved

Kalshi · Above 3M
4%▼ 93.5 pts since Sep 29
Yes price
Sep 291% – 97% scaleOct 5

Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The market asks: “Will Tate McRae have above 3M daily views at any point during September 28, 2026 - October 4, 2026?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Oct 8, 2026.

How to trade this market on Kalshi

  1. Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
  2. Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 6¢ for Above 2.8M right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.

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Not on Polymarket here yet: we have not matched this question to a Polymarket market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.

Common questions

What are the Kalshi odds on Tate McRae: Highest daily view count (September 28, 2026 - October 4, 2026)?

On Kalshi, the busiest line, Above 3M, is at 4%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Polymarket too?

We have not matched it to a Polymarket market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Kalshi. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.

How accurate are Kalshi odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?

A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.