Polymarket # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Higher Brackets) odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is 150M+, at 68%. The market settles by Oct 10, 2026, and $49K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 68¢ reads as a 68% chance. We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet, so there is no second price.
Polymarket odds on every outcome
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 68¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve according to the number of views the most recent YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers only to the video "Eat Everything In A Grocery Store, Win $1,000,000" by MrBeast (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=plN7JMbadRg).
Scheduled resolution: Oct 11, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 68¢ for 150M+ right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
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Not on Kalshi here yet: we have not matched this question to a Kalshi market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Higher Brackets)?
On Polymarket, the favourite is 150M+, at 68%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
We have not matched it to a Kalshi market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.