What will be the top US Netflix show this week? Polymarket odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is A Different World: Season 1, at 97%. The market settles by Oct 6, 2026, and $2K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 97¢ reads as a 97% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Also priced on Kalshi: 3 questions compared ↓
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Different World: Season 1 compare | 97% | 97¢ | $868 | Trade |
| East of Eden: Limited Series compare | 1% | 1¢ | $1K | Trade |
| Crew Girl: Season 1 | – | – | $100 | Trade |
| LEGO ONE PIECE: Season 1 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Wonka's The Golden Ticket: Season 1 compare | <1% | <1¢ | $256 | Trade |
| Outside: Season 1 | – | – | $5 | Trade |
| Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1 | – | – | $100 | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 97¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on these questions
The same questions on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 97¢ | 3¢ | 0.2¢ | $868 | $1K | Trade → |
| Kalshi | 96¢cheapest to buy | 4¢ | 0.3¢ | $5K | – | Trade → |
Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1¢cheapest to buy | 99¢ | 0.1¢ | $1K | $3K | Trade → |
| Kalshi | 2¢ | 98¢ | 0.1¢ | $13K | – | Trade → |
Will "Wonka's The Golden Ticket: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | <1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $256 | $2K | Trade → |
| Kalshi | 1¢ | 99¢ | <0.1¢ | $3K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 6, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).
This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.
The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US TV shows.
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Scheduled resolution: Oct 6, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 97¢ for A Different World: Season 1 right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on “What will be the top US Netflix show this week?”?
On Polymarket, the favourite is A Different World: Season 1, at 97%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. The 3 questions both venues price are compared above, each with its own side-by-side page.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.