Polymarket Next CEO of NVIDIA odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Rene Haas, at 28%. The market settles by Dec 31, 2028, and $766K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 28¢ reads as a 28% chance. Polymarket US and Kalshi list it too, and we compare the prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Also on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Also priced on Polymarket US and Kalshi: compare them
22 of these outcomes are priced on Polymarket US and Kalshi too: the favourite is compared below, and each outcome links its own comparison.
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rene Haas compare | 28% | 28¢ | $108K | Trade |
| Ian Buck compare | 16% | 16¢ | $133K | Trade |
| Colette Kress compare | 12% | 12¢ | $63K | Trade |
| Jensen Huang (No Change) | 8% | 8¢ | $319K | Trade |
| Johny Srouji compare | 7% | 7¢ | $21K | Trade |
| Nikesh Arora compare | 3% | 3¢ | $5K | Trade |
| Tim Cook compare | 3% | 3¢ | $58K | Trade |
| Lisa Su compare | 2% | 2¢ | $10K | Trade |
| Jay Puri compare | 2% | 2¢ | $8K | Trade |
| Michael Kagan compare | 2% | 2¢ | $6K | Trade |
Show 14 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonah Alben compare | 2% | 2¢ | $4K | Trade |
| Eric Schmidt compare | 1% | 1¢ | $4K | Trade |
| Thomas Kurian compare | 1% | 1¢ | $3K | Trade |
| Debora Shoquist compare | 1% | 1¢ | $1K | Trade |
| Nico Caprez compare | 1% | 1¢ | $1K | Trade |
| Chris Malachowsky compare | 1% | 1¢ | $5K | Trade |
| Madison Huang compare | 1% | 1¢ | $4K | Trade |
| Bill Dally compare | <1% | <1¢ | $1K | Trade |
| Pat Gelsinger compare | <1% | <1¢ | $4K | Trade |
| Spencer Huang compare | <1% | <1¢ | $1K | Trade |
| Hock Tan compare | <1% | <1¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Nick Parker compare | <1% | <1¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Matt Garman compare | <1% | <1¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Curtis Priem | – | – | $336 | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 28¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on this question
The same question on each venue: Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 28¢ | 72¢ | 1.0¢ | $108K | $22K | Trade → |
| Polymarket US$25 bonusUS residents only | 26¢cheapest to buy | 75¢ | 1.3–1.8¢ | – | – | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 28¢ | 73¢ | 1.4¢ | $184K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the successor to Jensen Huang as CEO of NVIDIA Corporation by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of NVIDIA.
Interim CEOs will not qualify.
If no successor is announced by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Jensen Huang (No Change)”.
The resolution source will be public statements from NVIDIA Corporation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Dec 31, 2028.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Is Polymarket safe? Our review covers how your money is held and paid out.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 28¢ for Rene Haas right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Next CEO of NVIDIA?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Rene Haas, at 28%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. It trades on Polymarket US and Kalshi. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows every venue’s prices and rules.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.