Polymarket IPOs before 2027 odds
On Polymarket, the busiest line, Anthropic, is at 83%. The market settles by Dec 31, 2026, and $5K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 83¢ reads as an 83% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Also priced on Kalshi: 6 questions compared ↓
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic compare | 83% | 83¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Anduril Industries compare | 4% | 4¢ | $1K | Trade |
| Anduril | 4% | 4¢ | $100 | Trade |
| Fannie Mae | 3% | 3¢ | $89 | Trade |
| Discord compare | 5% | 5¢ | $80 | Trade |
| Freddie Mac | 4% | 4¢ | $9 | Trade |
| Anysphere (Cursor) compare | 3% | 3¢ | $5 | Trade |
| Perplexity | 4% | 4¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Remote | 4% | 4¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Applied Intuition | 4% | 4¢ | $0 | Trade |
Show 25 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rippling | 4% | 4¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Celonis | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| OpenAI compare | 3% | 3¢ | $664 | Trade |
| Deel | 1% | 1¢ | $306 | Trade |
| Mistral AI | 2% | 2¢ | $119 | Trade |
| Epic Games | 1% | 1¢ | $73 | Trade |
| Ramp | 3% | 3¢ | $50 | Trade |
| ByteDance | 2% | 2¢ | $50 | Trade |
| Databricks compare | 2% | 2¢ | $36 | Trade |
| Stripe | 2% | 2¢ | $16 | Trade |
| Ripple Labs | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Revolut | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Ledger | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Waymo | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Canva | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| WHOOP | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Brex | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Glean | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Vanta | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| SpaceXFinal | 100% | 100¢ | $0 | |
| CerebrasFinal | 100% | 100¢ | $0 | |
| Once Upon a FarmFinal | 100% | 100¢ | $0 | |
| SHEINFinal | 100% | 100¢ | $0 | |
| WealthfrontFinal | 100% | 100¢ | $0 | |
| xAIFinal | 0% | 0¢ | $0 |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 83¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on these questions
The same questions on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 83¢ | 17¢ | 0.6¢ | $2K | $12K | Trade → |
| Kalshi | 77¢cheapest to buy | 23¢ | 1.3¢ | $1K | – | Trade → |
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 5¢cheapest to buy | 95¢ | 0.2¢ | $80 | $3K | Trade → |
| Kalshi | 7¢ | 93¢ | 0.5¢ | $16 | – | Trade → |
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 4¢ | 96¢ | 0.2¢ | $1K | $8K | Trade → |
| Kalshi | 3¢cheapest to buy | 97¢ | 0.2¢ | $10 | – | Trade → |
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 3¢cheapest to buy | 97¢ | 0.1¢ | $664 | $34K | Trade → |
| Kalshi | 4¢ | 96¢ | 0.2¢ | $388 | – | Trade → |
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 3¢ | 97¢ | 0.1¢ | $5 | $3K | Trade → |
| Kalshi | 2¢cheapest to buy | 98¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | – | Trade → |
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2¢cheapest to buy | 98¢ | 0.1¢ | $36 | $2K | Trade → |
| Kalshi | 3¢ | 97¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Scheduled resolution: Dec 31, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 83¢ for Anthropic right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on IPOs before 2027?
On Polymarket, the busiest line, Anthropic, is at 83%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. The 6 questions both venues price are compared above, each with its own side-by-side page.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.