Kalshi Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026 odds
On Kalshi, the favourite is 33,000.01 or above, at 10%. The market settles by Dec 31, 2026, and $92K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 10¢ reads as a 10% chance.
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Kalshi · odds · updated
Kalshi odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33,000.01 or above | 10% | 10¢ | $2K | Trade |
| 29,500 to 29,999.99 | 9% | 9¢ | $8K | Trade |
| 30,500 to 30,999.99 | 9% | 9¢ | $2K | Trade |
| 30,000 to 30,499.99 | 8% | 8¢ | $1K | Trade |
| 31,500 to 31,999.99 | 7% | 7¢ | $241 | Trade |
| 29,000 to 29,499.99 | 7% | 7¢ | $134 | Trade |
| 28,000 to 28,499.99 | 6% | 6¢ | $9K | Trade |
| 28,500 to 28,999.99 | 5% | 5¢ | $9K | Trade |
| 31,000 to 31,499.99 | 5% | 5¢ | $4K | Trade |
| 32,000 to 32,499.99 | 5% | 5¢ | $830 | Trade |
Show 20 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27,500 to 27,999.99 | 5% | 5¢ | $470 | Trade |
| 27,000 to 27,499.99 | 3% | 3¢ | $4K | Trade |
| 26,000 to 26,499.99 | 3% | 3¢ | $20K | Trade |
| 18,999.99 or below | 3% | 3¢ | $6K | Trade |
| 26,500 to 26,999.99 | 3% | 3¢ | $2K | Trade |
| 32,500 to 33,000 | 3% | 3¢ | $1K | Trade |
| 24,500 to 24,999.99 | 3% | 3¢ | $250 | Trade |
| 25,500 to 25,999.99 | 2% | 2¢ | $4K | Trade |
| 25,000 to 25,499.99 | 2% | 2¢ | $1K | Trade |
| 23,500 to 23,999.99 | 1% | 1¢ | $10K | Trade |
| 24,000 to 24,499.99 | 1% | 1¢ | $4K | Trade |
| 23,000 to 23,499.99 | 1% | 1¢ | $1K | Trade |
| 19,000 to 19,499.99 | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| 22,500 to 22,999.99 | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| 21,000 to 21,499.99 | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| 22,000 to 22,499.99 | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| 19,500 to 19,999.99 | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| 21,500 to 21,999.99 | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| 20,500 to 20,999.99 | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| 20,000 to 20,499.99 | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 10¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
How the odds have moved
Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
The market asks: “Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 33000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)
Scheduled resolution: Dec 31, 2026.
How to trade this market on Kalshi
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi app review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 10¢ for 33,000.01 or above right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.
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Not on Polymarket here yet: we have not matched this question to a Polymarket market, so there is no second price to compare. Kalshi vs Polymarket compares the two venues.
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Common questions
What are the Kalshi odds on Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
On Kalshi, the favourite is 33,000.01 or above, at 10%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Polymarket too?
We have not matched it to a Polymarket market yet. When we do, both prices appear side by side here.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Kalshi. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Kalshi odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?
A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.