Polymarket Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Jon Ossoff, at 26%. The market settles by Nov 7, 2028, and $783K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 26¢ reads as a 26% chance. Polymarket US and Kalshi list it too, and we compare the prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Also on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Also priced on Polymarket US and Kalshi: 4 questions compared ↓
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Ossoff compare | 26% | 26¢ | $12K | Trade |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 15% | 15¢ | $19K | Trade |
| Gavin Newsom | 10% | 10¢ | $15K | Trade |
| Josh Shapiro | 6% | 6¢ | $17K | Trade |
| Pete Buttigieg | 5% | 5¢ | $29K | Trade |
| Kamala Harris | 5% | 5¢ | $6K | Trade |
| Andy Beshear compare | 4% | 4¢ | $3K | Trade |
| Raphael Warnock compare | 3% | 3¢ | $36K | Trade |
| Ro Khanna | 2% | 2¢ | $10K | Trade |
| Wes Moore | 2% | 2¢ | $666 | Trade |
Show 30 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Kelly | 2% | 2¢ | $9K | Trade |
| James Talarico | 2% | 2¢ | $216 | Trade |
| J.B. Pritzker | 2% | 2¢ | $735 | Trade |
| Chris Van Hollen | 1% | 1¢ | $136K | Trade |
| Abdul El-Sayed | 1% | 1¢ | $24 | Trade |
| Cory Booker | 1% | 1¢ | $111 | Trade |
| Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson | 1% | 1¢ | $345 | Trade |
| Rahm Emanuel | 1% | 1¢ | $162 | Trade |
| Gretchen Whitmer | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Chelsea Clinton | 1% | 1¢ | $348 | Trade |
| Michelle Obama | 1% | 1¢ | $67 | Trade |
| Ruben Gallego | <1% | <1¢ | $38K | Trade |
| Elissa Slotkin | <1% | <1¢ | $118K | Trade |
| Roy Cooper | <1% | <1¢ | $26K | Trade |
| Jon Stewart | <1% | <1¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Mark Cuban | <1% | <1¢ | $4K | Trade |
| Chris Murphy | <1% | <1¢ | $250 | Trade |
| Hillary Clinton | <1% | <1¢ | $75 | Trade |
| Bernie Sanders compare | <1% | <1¢ | $3 | Trade |
| Shawn Fain | <1% | <1¢ | $210K | Trade |
| Mitch Landrieu | <1% | <1¢ | $40K | Trade |
| Stephen A. Smith | <1% | <1¢ | $23K | Trade |
| Josh Stein | <1% | <1¢ | $17K | Trade |
| Phil Murphy | <1% | <1¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Hakeem Jeffries | <1% | <1¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Jasmine Crockett | <1% | <1¢ | $685 | Trade |
| Hunter Biden | <1% | <1¢ | $336 | Trade |
| Abigail Spanberger | <1% | <1¢ | $114 | Trade |
| Barack Obama | <1% | <1¢ | $37 | Trade |
| Zohran Mamdani | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
18 more outcomes are priced on Polymarket: the full board on Polymarket (opens in a new tab).
Close-only for US residentsChance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 26¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on these questions
The same questions on each venue: Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 26¢ | 74¢ | 0.8¢ | $12K | $733K | Trade → |
| Polymarket US$25 bonusUS residents only | 26¢ | 75¢ | 1.3–1.8¢ | – | – | Trade → |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 4¢cheapest to buy | 96¢ | 0.1¢ | $3K | $343K | Trade → |
| Polymarket US$25 bonusUS residents only | 5¢ | 96¢ | 0.3–0.4¢ | – | – | Trade → |
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 3¢cheapest to buy | 97¢ | 0.1¢ | $36K | $293K | Trade → |
| Polymarket US$25 bonusUS residents only | 4¢ | 97¢ | 0.2–0.3¢ | – | – | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 3¢cheapest to buy | 97¢ | 0.2¢ | $22K | – | Trade → |
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | <1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $3 | $227K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | <1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $3K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Scheduled resolution: Nov 7, 2028.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 26¢ for Jon Ossoff right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
More politics markets
Next French Presidential Election
Polymarket · resolves Apr 18, 2027
$867K in 24h on Polymarket
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Nov 7, 2028
$758K in 24h on Polymarket
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Polymarket · Polymarket US · resolves Nov 7, 2028
$611K in 24h on Polymarket
US announces end of Iranian blockade
Polymarket · resolves Dec 31, 2026
$332K in 24h on Polymarket
Taipei Mayor Election
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Nov 28, 2026
$148K in 24h on Polymarket
Next Senate Majority Leader
Polymarket · resolves Nov 3, 2026
$118K in 24h on Polymarket
Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Jon Ossoff, at 26%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. It trades on Polymarket US and Kalshi. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. The 4 questions both venues price are compared above, each with its own side-by-side page.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.