Kalshi 2028 U.S. Presidential Election odds
On Kalshi, the favourite is Jon Ossoff, at 18%. The market settles by Jan 21, 2029, and $1.4M traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 18¢ reads as an 18% chance. Polymarket lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.
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This question also has a permanent page: 2028 US presidential election odds
Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page
Kalshi · odds · updated
Also priced on Polymarket: compare both
Kalshi odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Ossoff | 18% | 18¢ | $19K | Trade |
| J.D. Vance | 13% | 13¢ | $90K | Trade |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez compare | 10% | 10¢ | $13K | Trade |
| Marco Rubio | 9% | 9¢ | $25K | Trade |
| Gavin Newsom | 8% | 8¢ | $23K | Trade |
| Ron DeSantis | 6% | 6¢ | $43K | Trade |
| Kamala Harris | 4% | 4¢ | $21K | Trade |
| Andy Beshear | 3% | 3¢ | $10K | Trade |
| Pete Buttigieg | 3% | 3¢ | $27K | Trade |
| Josh Shapiro | 3% | 3¢ | $4K | Trade |
Show 30 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Kelly | 2% | 2¢ | $9K | Trade |
| James Talarico | 2% | 2¢ | $9K | Trade |
| J.B. Pritzker | 2% | 2¢ | $5K | Trade |
| Raphael Warnock | 2% | 2¢ | $11K | Trade |
| Wes Moore | 2% | 2¢ | $6K | Trade |
| Ted Cruz | 1% | 1¢ | $12K | Trade |
| Thomas Massie | 1% | 1¢ | $7K | Trade |
| Donald J. Trump | 1% | 1¢ | $3K | Trade |
| John McEntee | 1% | 1¢ | $76K | Trade |
| Rahm Emanuel | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Tucker Carlson | 1% | 1¢ | $678 | Trade |
| Ro Khanna | 1% | 1¢ | $3K | Trade |
| Cory Booker | 1% | 1¢ | $618K | Trade |
| Glenn Youngkin | 1% | 1¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Abdul El-Sayed | 1% | 1¢ | $4K | Trade |
| Brian Kemp | 1% | 1¢ | $3K | Trade |
| Gretchen Whitmer | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Tulsi Gabbard | <1% | <1¢ | $24K | Trade |
| Donald J. Trump Jr. | <1% | <1¢ | $934 | Trade |
| Ivanka Trump | <1% | <1¢ | $934 | Trade |
| Nikki Haley | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Chris Van Hollen | <1% | <1¢ | $108K | Trade |
| Michelle Obama | <1% | <1¢ | $36K | Trade |
| Stephen A. Smith | <1% | <1¢ | $11K | Trade |
| Rand Paul | <1% | <1¢ | $971 | Trade |
| Joe Kent | <1% | <1¢ | $857 | Trade |
| Jamie Dimon | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Roy Cooper | <1% | <1¢ | $170K | Trade |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | <1% | <1¢ | $465 | Trade |
12 more outcomes are priced on Kalshi: the full board on Kalshi (opens in a new tab).
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 18¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Kalshi vs Polymarket on this question
The same question on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 1¢cheapest to buy | 99¢ | <0.1¢ | $0 | $35K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 10¢ | 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $13K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
The market asks: “Who will win the next presidential election?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)
Scheduled resolution: Jan 21, 2029.
How to trade this market on Kalshi
- Check your state first. A few states restrict some contracts.
- Open a Kalshi account. Is Kalshi legit? Our review covers safety, sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 18¢ for Jon Ossoff right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.
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Common questions
What are the Kalshi odds on 2028 U.S. Presidential Election?
On Kalshi, the favourite is Jon Ossoff, at 18%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Polymarket too?
Yes. Polymarket's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Kalshi. A few states have acted against some contracts. Check your state first.
How accurate are Kalshi odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?
A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.