Polymarket Troy vs. James Madison odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is James Madison, at 88%. The market settles by Oct 29, 2026, and $70 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 88¢ reads as an 88% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Also priced on Kalshi: compare both
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison compare | 88% | 88¢ | $70 | Trade |
| Spread · James Madison -17.5 | 52% | 52¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Spread -5.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Spread -13.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Spread -7.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Spread -16.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Spread -10.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Spread -6.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Spread -14.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Troy Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
Show 30 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread -3.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Spread -1.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| James Madison 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| James Madison Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| James Madison Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Troy Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Troy Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| James Madison Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| James Madison Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| James Madison Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Troy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Troy 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Spread -0.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| James Madison Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| James Madison Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Troy Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| James Madison Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| James Madison Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Troy Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
130 more outcomes are priced on Polymarket: the full board on Polymarket (opens in a new tab).
Close-only for US residentsChance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 88¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on this match
The same match on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
| Venue | Troy | James Madison | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 12¢ | 88¢ | 0.3¢ | $70 | $7K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 12¢ | 88¢ | 0.7¢ | $5K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
In the upcoming college football game between Troy and James Madison, scheduled for October 29 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Troy" if Troy win the game. This market will resolve to "James Madison" if James Madison win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Scheduled resolution: Oct 29, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 88¢ for James Madison right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
More College football markets
NCAA Football: 2027 National Champion
Polymarket · resolves Feb 8, 2027
$54K in 24h on Polymarket
NCAA Football: Team to make College Football Playoffs
Polymarket · resolves –
$5K in 24h on Polymarket
Florida vs. Georgia
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Oct 31, 2026
$94K in 24h, both venues
NCAA Football: 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader
Polymarket · resolves Jan 3, 2027
$4K in 24h on Polymarket
NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award
Polymarket · Kalshi · resolves Dec 26, 2026
$57K in 24h, both venues
Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Troy vs. James Madison?
On Polymarket, the favourite is James Madison, at 88%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.