Kalshi marketKickoff Wed, Oct 28, 7:30pm ET

Kalshi Toronto FC vs. D.C. United SC odds

On Kalshi, the favourite is Toronto FC, at 48%. The market settles by Oct 28, 2026, and $162 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 48¢ reads as a 48% chance. Polymarket and Polymarket US list it too, and we compare the prices below.

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Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page

Kalshi · odds · updated

Toronto FC48%
D.C. United SC28%
Draw25%

Also priced on Polymarket and Polymarket US: compare them

$162
24h volume on Kalshi
$176
total volume on Kalshi
$158
open interest
Oct 28, 2026
settles

Kalshi odds on every outcome

Kalshi odds on each outcome of Toronto FC vs. D.C. United SC
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Toronto FC compare 48%48¢$80Trade
D.C. United SC compare 28%28¢$11Trade
Draw compare 25%25¢$70Trade

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 48¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Kalshi vs Polymarket on this match

The same match on each venue: Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Toronto FC · Will Toronto FC win on Oct 28, 2026?

Toronto FC: Will Toronto FC win on Oct 28, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents48¢52¢1.2¢$0$10KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only48¢52¢1.7¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus48¢53¢1.7¢$80–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Draw · Will Toronto FC vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?

Draw: Will Toronto FC vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents25¢76¢0.9¢$31$11KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only25¢76¢1.3¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus25¢76¢1.3¢$70–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

D.C. United SC · Will D.C. United SC win on Oct 28, 2026?

D.C. United SC: Will D.C. United SC win on Oct 28, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents28¢72¢1.0¢$167$12KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only28¢72¢1.4¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus28¢73¢1.4¢$11–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Kalshi · Toronto FC
48%▼ 7.5 pts since Oct 23
Yes price
Oct 2345% – 58% scaleOct 25

Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The contract is “Toronto FC wins”. Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Oct 28, 2026.

How to trade this market on Kalshi

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi app review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 48¢ for Toronto FC right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.

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Common questions

What are the Kalshi odds on Toronto FC vs. D.C. United SC?

On Kalshi, the favourite is Toronto FC, at 48%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Polymarket too?

Yes. It trades on Polymarket and Polymarket US. Polymarket's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows every venue’s prices and rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Kalshi. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Kalshi odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?

A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.