Polymarket marketKickoff Wed, Oct 28, 7:30pm ET

Polymarket Toronto FC vs. D.C. United SC odds

On Polymarket, the favourite is Toronto FC, at 48%. The market settles by Oct 28, 2026, and $198 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 48¢ reads as a 48% chance. Polymarket US and Kalshi list it too, and we compare the prices below.

Trade on Polymarket

Close-only for US residents

Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page

Also on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page

Polymarket · odds · updated

Toronto FC48%
D.C. United SC28%
Draw25%

Also priced on Polymarket US and Kalshi: compare them

$198
24h volume on Polymarket
$198
total volume on Polymarket
3
open of 3 outcomes
Oct 28, 2026
settles

Polymarket odds on every outcome

Polymarket odds on each outcome of Toronto FC vs. D.C. United SC
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Toronto FC compare 48%48¢$0Trade
D.C. United SC compare 28%28¢$167Trade
Draw compare 25%25¢$31Trade
Close-only for US residents

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 48¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Polymarket vs Kalshi on this match

The same match on each venue: Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Toronto FC · Will Toronto FC win on Oct 28, 2026?

Toronto FC: Will Toronto FC win on Oct 28, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents48¢52¢1.2¢$0$10KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only48¢52¢1.7¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus48¢53¢1.7¢$80–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Draw · Will Toronto FC vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?

Draw: Will Toronto FC vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents25¢76¢0.9¢$31$10KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only25¢76¢1.3¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus25¢76¢1.3¢$70–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

D.C. United SC · Will D.C. United SC win on Oct 28, 2026?

D.C. United SC: Will D.C. United SC win on Oct 28, 2026?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents28¢72¢1.0¢$167$12KTrade →
Polymarket USUS residents only28¢72¢1.4¢––Trade →
Kalshi$50 bonus28¢73¢1.4¢$11–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book, and Polymarket US charges its own (0.0695 × price × (1 − price) to takers, nothing to makers).

Full comparison

How the odds have moved

Polymarket · Toronto FC
48%▼ 0.5 pts since Oct 18
Yes price
Oct 1842% – 53% scaleOct 25

Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.

How this market resolves

The market asks: “Will Toronto FC win on Oct 28, 2026?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Polymarket publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Oct 28, 2026.

How to trade this market on Polymarket

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 48¢ for Toronto FC right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
Close-only for US residents

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Common questions

What are the Polymarket odds on Toronto FC vs. D.C. United SC?

On Polymarket, the favourite is Toronto FC, at 48%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Kalshi too?

Yes. It trades on Polymarket US and Kalshi. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows every venue’s prices and rules.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?

A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.