Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? Odds and prices
Markets price "Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP" at 2%, with 2 venues quoting within 1 point of each other. The contract settles by Feb 28, 2027; each venue words its settlement rules itself, compared below.
This question on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Odds by venue
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2¢ | 98¢ | 0.1¢ | $3K | $28K | Trade → |
| Kalshi | 2¢ | 98¢ | 0.1¢ | $8K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
One venue's series for the result the headline prices, not a blend; venues tick at different cadences and interpolating one onto the other would invent points.
What the market is actually pricing
Venues word settlement differently for the same question, and the difference decides who gets paid. This is the comparison no venue publishes about its rivals.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.
Full settlement wording
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Caleb Williams wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Where you can trade this
The Trade links in the tables above open each venue's own market. The reviews cover sign-up, funding and payouts.
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Common questions
What are the odds on "Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP"?
Markets currently price it at 2% across 2 venues, a market-implied probability rather than a forecast.
Where can I trade "Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP"?
On Polymarket and Kalshi. Availability by state varies for sports contracts; see the legal pages.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Different traders, different fees, and different settlement wording. The gap is the reason this page exists; the cheaper side is marked in the table.