Polymarket Pro Football: 2026 MVP odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Josh Allen, at 30%. The market settles by Feb 28, 2027, and $9K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 30¢ reads as a 30% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Also priced on Kalshi: compare both
21 of these outcomes are priced on Kalshi too: the favourite is compared below, and each outcome links its own comparison.
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen compare | 30% | 30¢ | $246 | Trade |
| Brock Purdy compare | 25% | 25¢ | $74 | Trade |
| Patrick Mahomes | 10% | 10¢ | $20 | Trade |
| Jordan Love compare | 5% | 5¢ | $530 | Trade |
| Joe Burrow compare | 5% | 5¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Trevor Lawrence compare | 4% | 4¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Drake Maye compare | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Jared Goff compare | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Derrick Henry compare | 3% | 3¢ | $3K | Trade |
| Caleb Williams compare | 2% | 2¢ | $715 | Trade |
Show 19 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian McCaffrey compare | 2% | 2¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Justin Herbert compare | 1% | 1¢ | $20 | Trade |
| Lamar Jackson compare | 1% | 1¢ | $32 | Trade |
| Dak Prescott compare | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 1% | 1¢ | $20 | Trade |
| Bo Nix | <1% | <1¢ | $100 | Trade |
| Matthew Stafford | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Jaxson Smith-Njigba compare | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Jalen Hurts compare | <1% | <1¢ | $2K | Trade |
| Saquon Barkley compare | <1% | <1¢ | $20 | Trade |
| Bijan Robinson compare | <1% | <1¢ | $20 | Trade |
| Baker Mayfield compare | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Jaxson Dart compare | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Justin Jefferson compare | – | – | $26 | Trade |
| Player J compare | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| De'Von Achane | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Myles Garrett | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Sam Darnold | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Puka Nacua | – | – | $0 | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 30¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on this question
The same question on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 30¢ | 71¢ | 0.6¢ | $246 | $7K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 29¢cheapest to buy | 72¢ | 1.4¢ | $4K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Scheduled resolution: Feb 28, 2027.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Is Polymarket legit? Our review covers safety, sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 30¢ for Josh Allen right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on Pro Football: 2026 MVP?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Josh Allen, at 30%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows both prices and both venues' rules.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.