Kalshi market

Kalshi 2028 UEFA Euros Champion odds

On Kalshi, the favourite is Spain, at 23%. The market settles by Aug 1, 2028, and $60 traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 23¢ reads as a 23% chance. Polymarket lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.

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Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page

Kalshi · odds · updated

Spain23%
France18%
England14%
Germany10%
Portugal9%

All 30 outcomes ↓

Also priced on Polymarket: 4 questions compared ↓

$60
24h volume on Kalshi
$48K
total volume on Kalshi
$40K
open interest
Aug 1, 2028
settles

Kalshi odds on every outcome

Kalshi odds on each outcome of 2028 UEFA Euros Champion
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Spain23%23¢$0Trade
France18%18¢$0Trade
England14%14¢$0Trade
Germany10%10¢$0Trade
Portugal9%9¢$0Trade
Netherlands6%6¢$59Trade
Italy6%6¢$0Trade
Norway3%3¢$1Trade
Belgium3%3¢$0Trade
Sweden3%3¢$0Trade
Show 20 more outcomes
Kalshi odds on each outcome of 2028 UEFA Euros Champion
OutcomeChanceYes price24h volume
Turkiye2%2¢$0Trade
Denmark2%2¢$0Trade
Switzerland2%2¢$0Trade
Croatia1%1¢$0Trade
Poland1%1¢$0Trade
Georgia compare 1%1¢$0Trade
Ireland1%1¢$0Trade
Romania compare 1%1¢$0Trade
Slovenia1%1¢$0Trade
Albania compare 1%1¢$0Trade
Scotland1%1¢$0Trade
Ukraine1%1¢$0Trade
Hungary1%1¢$0Trade
Czechia1%1¢$0Trade
Austria compare 1%1¢$0Trade
Wales1%1¢$0Trade
Bosnia and Herzegovina1%1¢$0Trade
Northern Ireland1%1¢$0Trade
Serbia1%1¢$0Trade
Slovakia1%1¢$0Trade

Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 23¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.

Kalshi vs Polymarket on these questions

The same questions on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.

Will Romania win the UEFA EURO 2028?

Yes: Will Romania win the UEFA EURO 2028?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents2¢98¢0.1¢$0$31KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus1¢>99¢<0.1¢$0–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Will Georgia win the UEFA EURO 2028?

Yes: Will Georgia win the UEFA EURO 2028?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents2¢98¢0.1¢$0$28KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus1¢>99¢<0.1¢$0–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Will Austria win the UEFA EURO 2028?

Yes: Will Austria win the UEFA EURO 2028?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents2¢99¢0.1¢$0$32KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus1¢>99¢<0.1¢$0–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

Will Albania win the UEFA EURO 2028?

Yes: Will Albania win the UEFA EURO 2028?: price on each venue, the fee, 24h volume and liquidity, with a link to trade
VenueYesNoFee24h volumeLiquidity
PolymarketClose-only for US residents<1¢>99¢<0.1¢$0$29KTrade →
Kalshi$50 bonus1¢>99¢<0.1¢$0–Trade →
Updated Fee: the taker fee on one contract at the price shown, as each venue publishes it; Polymarket’s is its international book.

How this market resolves

The market asks: “Will Spain win the 2028 UEFA Euros?” Each outcome is its own contract: it pays $1 if it is the answer, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)

Scheduled resolution: Aug 1, 2028.

How to trade this market on Kalshi

  1. Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
  2. Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi review covers sign-up and payouts.
  3. Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 23¢ for Spain right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
  4. Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.

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Common questions

What are the Kalshi odds on 2028 UEFA Euros Champion?

On Kalshi, the favourite is Spain, at 23%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.

How does this market resolve?

By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.

Is this question on Polymarket too?

Yes. Polymarket's page has its prices and rules. The 4 questions both venues price are compared above, each with its own side-by-side page.

Can I trade this market in my state?

In most states, yes, on Kalshi. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.

How accurate are Kalshi odds?

Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?

A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.