Polymarket UEFA EURO 2028: odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Spain, at 23%. The market settles by Jul 23, 2028, and $2K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 23¢ reads as a 23% chance. Kalshi lists it too, and we compare the two prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Also priced on Kalshi: 4 questions compared ↓
Polymarket odds on every outcome
Show 30 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finland | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Armenia | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Lithuania | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Latvia | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Luxembourg | 3% | 3¢ | $20 | Trade |
| Kosovo | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Iceland | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Andorra | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Gibraltar | 3% | 3¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Azerbaijan | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Moldova | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Malta | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Romania compare | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Kazakhstan | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Cyprus | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Georgia compare | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Slovenia | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Israel | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Switzerland | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Turkey | 2% | 2¢ | $229 | Trade |
| Austria compare | 2% | 2¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Croatia | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Greece | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Poland | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Denmark | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| North Macedonia | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Sweden | 1% | 1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Serbia | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Estonia | <1% | <1¢ | $0 | Trade |
15 more outcomes are priced on Polymarket: the full board on Polymarket (opens in a new tab).
Close-only for US residentsChance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 23¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on these questions
The same questions on both venues. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
Will Romania win the UEFA EURO 2028?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 2¢ | 98¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | $31K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $0 | – | Trade → |
Will Georgia win the UEFA EURO 2028?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 2¢ | 98¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | $28K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $0 | – | Trade → |
Will Austria win the UEFA EURO 2028?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 2¢ | 99¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | $32K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $0 | – | Trade → |
Will Albania win the UEFA EURO 2028?
| Venue | Yes | No | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | <1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $0 | $29K | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 1¢ | >99¢ | <0.1¢ | $0 | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket app review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 23¢ for Spain right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
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Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on UEFA EURO 2028:?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Spain, at 23%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. The 4 questions both venues price are compared above, each with its own side-by-side page.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.