Kalshi UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card) odds
On Kalshi, the favourite is Bilal Hasan, at 89%. The market settles by Nov 15, 2026, and $88K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 89¢ reads as an 89% chance. Polymarket and Polymarket US list it too, and we compare the prices below.
Claim $50 bonus on KalshiTrade on Kalshi
$50 bonusNew to Kalshi? Trade $25, get a $50 bonus through our link. US only, 18+. Kalshi promo code terms
Also on Polymarket: Polymarket's page
Kalshi · odds · updated
Also priced on Polymarket and Polymarket US: compare them
Kalshi odds on every outcome
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Kalshi. A Yes contract at 89¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Kalshi vs Polymarket on this match
The same match on each venue: Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
| Venue | Luis Gurule | Bilal Hasan | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 12¢cheapest to buy | 89¢ | 0.5¢ | $11K | $20K | Trade → |
| Polymarket US$25 bonusUS residents only | 13¢ | 88¢cheapest to buy | 0.8–1.0¢ | – | – | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 13¢ | 89¢ | 0.8¢ | $88K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Kalshi's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
The contract is “Bilal Hasan wins”. A Yes contract pays $1 if the answer is yes, and nothing if not. Kalshi publishes the full settlement rules on the market's page. Read them on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)
Scheduled resolution: Nov 15, 2026.
How to trade this market on Kalshi
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Kalshi account. Our Kalshi review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 89¢ for Bilal Hasan right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Kalshi's fees apply to each trade.
$50 bonusNew to Kalshi? Trade $25, get a $50 bonus through our link. US only, 18+. Kalshi promo code terms
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
More UFC markets
Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit: Method of Victory
Kalshi · resolves Nov 15, 2026
$450K in 24h on Kalshi
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Nov 14, 2026
$1.6M in 24h on Polymarket and Kalshi
Ciryl Gane vs. Josh Hokit: Round of Victory
Kalshi · resolves Nov 15, 2026
$124K in 24h on Kalshi
Kayla Harrison vs Amanda Nunes: Method of Victory
Kalshi · resolves Nov 15, 2026
$122K in 24h on Kalshi
UFC 334: Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims)
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Nov 14, 2026
$115K in 24h on Polymarket and Kalshi
UFC 334: Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Nov 14, 2026
$61K in 24h on Polymarket and Kalshi
Common questions
What are the Kalshi odds on UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card)?
On Kalshi, the favourite is Bilal Hasan, at 89%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Kalshi's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Polymarket too?
Yes. It trades on Polymarket and Polymarket US. Polymarket's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows every venue’s prices and rules.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Kalshi. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Kalshi odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Kalshi?
A trading fee on each contract, largest near 50¢ and smaller towards either end. Kalshi's fees has the formula.