Polymarket UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card) odds
On Polymarket, the favourite is Bilal Hasan, at 89%. The market settles by Nov 14, 2026, and $11K traded in the last 24 hours. Each contract pays $1 if it is right, so 89¢ reads as an 89% chance. Polymarket US and Kalshi list it too, and we compare the prices below.
Also on Kalshi: Kalshi's page
Also on Polymarket US: Polymarket US's page
Polymarket · odds · updated
Also priced on Polymarket US and Kalshi: compare them
Polymarket odds on every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bilal Hasan compare | 89% | 89¢ | $11K | Trade |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds · Under | 59% | 59¢ | $41 | Trade |
| Hasan in Round 1 | 44% | 44¢ | $20 | Trade |
| Fight won by KO/TKO | 79% | 79¢ | $13 | Trade |
| Fight to Go the Distance | 17% | 17¢ | $6 | Trade |
| Ends before Round 3 | 74% | 74¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Hasan to win by KO/TKO | 65% | 65¢ | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds · Over | 64% | 64¢ | $0 | Trade |
| Ends before Round 2 | 49% | 49¢ | $0 | Trade |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds · Under | 68% | 68¢ | $0 | Trade |
Show 9 more outcomes
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | 24h volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gurule to win by KO/TKO | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Hasan in Round 2 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Fight won by decision | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Decision or Draw | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Hasan in Round 3 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Fight won by submission | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Gurule in Round 3 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Gurule in Round 1 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
| Gurule in Round 2 | – | – | $0 | Trade |
Chance is each outcome's Yes price on Polymarket. A Yes contract at 89¢ pays $1 if that outcome wins.
Polymarket vs Kalshi on this match
The same match on each venue: Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi. When the prices differ, the cheaper side costs you less for the same payout.
| Venue | Luis Gurule | Bilal Hasan | Fee | 24h volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketClose-only for US residents | 12¢cheapest to buy | 89¢ | 0.5¢ | $11K | $20K | Trade → |
| Polymarket US$25 bonusUS residents only | 13¢ | 88¢cheapest to buy | 0.8–1.0¢ | – | – | Trade → |
| Kalshi$50 bonus | 13¢ | 89¢ | 0.8¢ | $88K | – | Trade → |
How the odds have moved
Polymarket's own series for the outcome the headline prices, from where its history starts; one venue, not a blend.
How this market resolves
Polymarket's own settlement wording, in full. This, not the headline, decides who gets paid.
Show the full rules
This market will resolve to "Luis Gurule" if Luis Gurule is officially declared the winner of the fight against Bilal Hasan at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026.
It will resolve to "Bilal Hasan" if Bilal Hasan is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Scheduled resolution: Nov 14, 2026.
How to trade this market on Polymarket
- Check your state first. Several states restrict sports contracts.
- Open a Polymarket account. Americans trade on Polymarket US. Our Polymarket app review covers sign-up and payouts.
- Buy Yes or No at the price shown, 89¢ for Bilal Hasan right now. Each contract pays $1 if you are right.
- Sell any time before it settles, or hold to the result. Polymarket's fees apply to each trade.
CoinStats may earn a commission on links to venues. Prices are indicative and may differ when you trade.
More UFC markets
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Nov 14, 2026
$1.6M in 24h on Polymarket and Kalshi
UFC 334: Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims)
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Nov 14, 2026
$115K in 24h on Polymarket and Kalshi
UFC 334: Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Nov 14, 2026
$61K in 24h on Polymarket and Kalshi
UFC 334: Evan Elder vs. Samuel Sanches (Lightweight, Early Prelims)
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Nov 14, 2026
$47K in 24h on Polymarket and Kalshi
UFC 334: Stephen Thompson vs. Charles Radtke (Welterweight, Prelims)
Polymarket · Polymarket US · Kalshi · resolves Nov 14, 2026
$61K in 24h on Polymarket and Kalshi
UFC 334: Macy Chiasson vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Early Prelims)
Polymarket · Polymarket US · resolves Nov 14, 2026
$19K in 24h on Polymarket
Common questions
What are the Polymarket odds on UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card)?
On Polymarket, the favourite is Bilal Hasan, at 89%. That is a market-implied probability, not a forecast, and it moves as traders buy and sell.
How does this market resolve?
By Polymarket's own settlement rules for this market. Two venues can word the same question differently and settle differently, so read them before you trade.
Is this question on Kalshi too?
Yes. It trades on Polymarket US and Kalshi. Kalshi's page has its prices and rules. Our side-by-side page shows every venue’s prices and rules.
Can I trade this market in my state?
In most states, yes, on Polymarket US. Sports contracts are the exception: several states restrict them. Check your state first.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Often more accurate than polls, though never certain. A price of 70% should lose three times in ten. How accurate prediction markets are has the research.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket?
A taker fee on most markets, largest near 50¢, and some categories charge nothing. Polymarket's fees has the detail.